Two residents stand in the ruins of residential apartments in Borodianka in the Kyiv region

On the first anniversary of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the international community is grappling with how to hold Russia accountable for war crimes, while many Ukrainians are struggling mentally and physically. 

“Ukraine is a crime scene,” Karim Khan, Prosecutor of the International Criminal Court (ICC), told a United Nations (UN) session on the war in Ukraine on Wednesday.

ICC Prosecutor Karim Khan addressing the UN this week.

The ICC had been asked to investigate Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, which started a year ago on 24 February 2022, and Khan visited various Ukrainian cities last May. There he saw civilians being bombed and body bags, and heard testimony from girls and women who had been raped and ex-prisoners of war who had been tortured by Russian soldiers.

Khan said that there were “reasonable grounds” for prosecution under the Rome Statute – the treaty that established the ICC to investigate genocide, crimes against humanity, war crimes, and the crime of aggression.

Late Thursday, the United Nations General Assembly adopted a resolution reiterating its demand that Russia “immediately, completely and unconditionally withdraw all of its military forces from the territory of Ukraine and called for a cessation of hostilities”. Only seven member states – Belarus, North Korea, Eritrea, Mali, Nicaragua, Russia and Syria – voted against the resolution, with 141 states in favour and 32 abstentions including China, India, Pakistan and large parts of Africa.

Back in September, the Independent International Commission of Enquiry on Ukraine, established by the UN Office of the High Commissioner of Human Rights (OHCHR), also reported that there were “reasonable grounds to conclude that an array of war crimes, violations of human rights and international humanitarian law have been committed in Ukraine”. 

The Commission reported “summary executions, unlawful confinement, torture, ill-treatment, rape and other sexual violence committed in areas occupied by Russian armed forces across the four regions on which it focused”. 

Given the gravity of the identified violations, there is an “undeniable need for accountability”, the commission added.

While Russian soldiers are responsible for the “vast majority of the violations identified, including war crimes”, Ukrainian forces had also violated international humanitarian law in some cases, including two incidents that qualify as war crimes, the commission reported.

The UN resolution on Ukraine also calls for “accountability for the most serious crimes under international law committed on the territory of Ukraine through appropriate, fair and independent investigations and prosecutions at the national or international level”.

Collecting evidence of war crimes

However, ensuring accountability is not going to be easy. The ICC has been assisted by forensic investigators from the Netherlands who are helping to “collect evidence to the highest international standards”, said Khan.

The ICC is also working with the European Union (EU) Agency for Criminal Justice Cooperation (Eurojust), which has set up a joint investigative team to investigate war crimes in Ukraine, as well as the Genocide Network, a European network of jurists specialising in international crimes.

“There is no space for spectators in this battle of conscience… It is imperative that the law is rendered effective in this critical moment of world affairs,” said Khan.

However, ensuring that Russian war criminals are tried and convicted will be almost impossible unless there is a regime change. Russia withdrew from the Rome Statute in 2016 after the ICC ruled that its activity in Crimea amounted to an “ongoing occupation”. Travel bans on key leaders make it unlikely that the culprits will leave Russia.

Access to abortion for refugees in Poland

A year into the war, the physical and mental suffering of Ukrainians is immense. By the end of 2022, 18 million Ukrainians needed humanitarian help, with 14.5 million people needing health assistance.

About eight million Ukrainians are refugees, dependent primarily on neighbouring countries for their survival.

This week, a number of Members of the European Parliament expressed concern for Ukranian women who had fled to Poland, which does not allow abortion except if a woman’s life is in danger, or in cases of rape or incest.   

According to the UN, more than one and a half million Ukrainians have fled to Poland. Ukrainian women and girls who have been raped by Russian soldiers are among the millions of people who have fled to Poland. Now they find themselves in a country that harshly restricts access to reproductive healthcare, including abortion,” the MEPs noted.

They asked the European Commission how it would “ensure that Ukrainian women and girls who have become pregnant as a result of rape have access to reproductive healthcare, including abortion, in accordance with Polish law”.

Kyiv residents queue for water in the street after water infrastructure was destroyed by Russian bombings.

Health, power and water facilities bombed

By the end of 2022, 763 healthcare facilities had been attacked, and half of the health facilities in Donetska, Zaporizka, Mykolaivska and Kharkivska oblasts are either partially or completely non-functional, according to the WHO Surveillance System

The continual bombing has destroyed power and water supplies, making it difficult for hospitals to function as well as undermining people’s health.

Approximately 9.6 million people in Ukraine may have a mental health condition, according to the WHO. This is based on previous research on those caught in war and conflict, which shows that almost a quarter (22%) develop depression, anxiety, post-traumatic stress disorder, bipolar disorder or schizophrenia. 

“From overcoming war trauma, to social isolation, to daily struggles without power and heating, to displacement-related challenges and more, the consequences of the war are expected to cause mental health problems for at least five years after the war ends,” says the global health body.

Retreating Russian forces have also mined land, and Ukraine estimates that 30% of the country’s land is contaminated by mines. 

Future geopolitical relations

The war has caused a global realignment, with an isolated Russia working hard to win new allies. India’s trade with Russia has increased by 400%, largely fueled by the sales of discounted crude oil while many African countries are being courted by Russia, including South Africa which has hosted Russian warships in the past few months in violation of US-imposed sanctions.

Ukraine is actively seeking membership of the European Union and has to satisfy an EU seven-point checklist of anti-corruption and judicial reforms – which explains the recent government investigations and dismissals.

Meanwhile, Europeans are increasingly anxious about the war, according to a recent Eurobarometer survey Some 85% of Germans and 82% of French are “very concerned” about the situation in Ukraine, while almost 80% of Poles believe that the war threatens their security.

However, US President Joe Biden’s visit to Kyiv this week to show solidarity with Ukraine, Europe’s discussion of joint arms procurement for the country, and Russian President Vladimir Putin’s decision to pull out of a nuclear pact with the US, point to a hardening of attitudes, and the likelihood that the war will drag on.

Image Credits: Oleksandr Ratushniak/ UNOCHA, Matteo Minasi/ UNOCHA.

In 2020, a woman died every two minutes from pregnancy or childbirth.

By the time you finish reading this article, at least two women will have died from complications in pregnancy or childbirth. In the next 24 hours, another 798 will lose their lives. Nearly all of these women will be from low-and lower middle-income countries, and nearly all of their deaths will have been preventable. 

These are the jarring findings of a new multi-agency UN report tracking deaths related to pregnancy and childbirth from 2000 to 2020 published on Thursday.

The report paints a vivid picture of the dangers faced by women who lack access to the basic but life-saving health services for preventing maternal deaths that most of the world has benefited from for decades. 

Yet instead of showing progress, the report reveals an alarming new development: nearly all regions of the world have witnessed an increase or stagnation in maternal deaths since 2016. 

The consequences for women’s health if this global backsliding continues, the report’s authors warned, will be severe. 

“We need to reverse the declines that we’re seeing in maternal mortality reductions,” said Dr Jenny Cresswell, lead author of the report. “This is a very important issue with very substantial inequities by country and within countries, which is unacceptable given that the majority of maternal deaths are due to preventable causes.”

In 2020, an estimated 287,000 women died of complications during pregnancy or childbirth – one every two minutes. For every woman who died, between 15 to 30 more paid for their survival with life-altering disabilities. And for every mother who does not make it past childbirth, a newborn is left at higher risk of dying as well. 

“The persistent gender norms that deprioritize the health of women and girls must be addressed,” said Dr Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, WHO’s Director-General at a media briefing on Tuesday. 

“While pregnancy should be a time of immense hope and a positive experience for all women, it is tragically still a shockingly dangerous experience for millions around the world who lack access to high quality, respectful health care,” he added.

“Childbirth should be a time of life, not death.” 

A story of inequality

Maternal mortality ratio estimates by country 2020.

Maternal death rates tell a story of deep global inequalities. An astonishing 70% of global maternal deaths in 2020 — over 200,000 — occurred in sub-Saharan Africa, where girls aged 15 face a one in 40 chance of dying from pregnancy-related complications. Central and Southern Asia arrive in a distant second, accounting for 17% of the global death toll. 

Globally, nearly 95% of all maternal deaths occur in low- and lower middle-income countries. Meanwhile, 73 countries, mostly in Europe, Latin America and the Caribbean, recorded less than 20 maternal deaths in 2020. 

The sub-Saharan death rate is 136 times higher than in Australia and New Zealand, the region with the lowest maternal mortality rate documented in the report. 

Between countries on the statistical extremes, inequalities are staggering. 

In Chad, the country with the highest rate of maternal mortality, a 15-year-old girl has a one in 15 chance of dying of maternal causes in her lifetime. If that same girl lived in Belarus, the highest performing country analyzed in the report, she would be 4,000 times less likely to succumb to pregnancy related causes. 

The stark contrast between the world’s best and worst performing countries highlight deep divisions within countries and regions that get lost in the averages of global statistics. 

While regional disparities are heavily influenced by relative development levels and the impacts of prolonged conflict and climate change, national disparities run along the rural-urban divide that defines health access in developing countries, where limited health workforces and facilities are concentrated in cities due to their relative wealth and high population densities. 

Remote populations out of reach of their country’s central power grid also suffer from reduced levels of care in the facilities at their disposal due to a lack of access to electricity. Paired with overstretched health systems lacking in critical medicines and essential medical supplies, the absence of electricity to power even barebones medical setups limits doctors’ abilities to provide life-saving care during childbirth, or operate incubators if a child is successfully delivered. 

One billion people in low- and middle-income countries do not have access to health facilities with reliable electricity, and South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa – the two regions with the highest maternal death rates – also have the lowest rates of healthcare facilities with reliable electricity. 

“No mother should have to fear for her life while bringing a baby into the world,” said UNICEF Executive Director Cathering Russell. “Equity in healthcare gives every mother, no matter who they are or where they are, a fair chance at a safe delivery and a healthy future with their family.” 

Progress is possible, but the world is backsliding 

Global reductions in maternal mortality rate by five-year time period, 2000-2020.

The 287,000 maternal deaths seen in 2020 is more than a third lower than the 446,000 documented at the turn of the millennium. From 2020 to 2015, all global regions achieved significant reductions in maternal mortality. 

But since 2016, the year the UN’s Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) came into effect, this era of progress has flatlined.

The SDG target for maternal mortality is to reduce deaths to 70 per 100,000 live births by 2030. The report found that for the world to reach this goal, an unprecedented reduction of 11.6% per year will be needed from 2021 to 2030. 

From 2000 to 2020, the average annual drop in maternal mortality was just 2.1% – a fifth of the rate needed to hit the SDG. 

Based on available data, the optimistic scenario outlined in the report projects the world will miss the SDG by more than double. The business-as-usual scenario, meanwhile, has the world arriving at a rate over three times the SDG target. 

Africa faces an even taller task: the continent needs to reduce maternal deaths by a staggering 86% to reach the rate set out in the SDG target. 

Australia and New Zealand, and Central and South Asia were the only two regions to make significant progress since 2016, reducing maternal mortality by 34.6% and 15.7% respectively. 

Half of global pregnancies are unplanned

Distributions of contraceptive users by method and region, 2019. / UNFPA

Nearly half of all pregnancies around the world, totalling 121 million annually, are unintended. According to the UN Population Fund (UNFPA), an estimated 257 million women wishing to avoid pregnancy lack access to safe, modern family planning methods like contraception and abortion.

In a report published in March 2022, UNFPA found that in 47 countries, about 40% of sexually active women were not using any contraceptive methods to avoid pregnancy, while nearly a quarter of all women are not able to say no to sex. 

“For the women affected, the most life-altering reproductive choice – whether or not to become pregnant – is no choice at all,” UNFPA Executive Director Dr Natalia Kanem said. “The staggering number of unintended pregnancies represents a global failure to uphold women and girls’ basic human rights.”

At a press conference with reporters on Tuesday, WHO officials said the ability to make autonomous decisions regarding reproductive health, including the choice of having children and the timing of childbirth, is crucial for women to plan and space their pregnancies and safeguard their well-being. 

A lack of access to the necessary care and medical resources leads many women to turn to unsafe abortions, which account for 45% of all abortions performed every year. These hospitalize about 7 million women a year globally and cause 5 to 13 percent of all maternal deaths – one of its leading causes.

Pregnant women from marginalized communities with limited access to essential maternity care are at increased risk due to inequalities related to income, education, race or ethnicity, the report added.

Nearly a third of women do not even have half of the recommended eight antenatal checks during their pregnancy, or receive any postnatal care. 

“We have the tools, knowledge and resources to end preventable maternal deaths,” Kanem said. “What we need now is the political will.”

Crisis and instability drive maternal deaths 

Pakistan
When disaster strikes, contraception and maternal health are often treated as secondary concerns.

Women and children are the first to suffer security and health consequences from war, conflict and instability. Amid the chaos, maternal health services are no longer considered essential, with dire consequences for women living in conflict zones. 

In the world’s nine most unstable countries on the Fragile States Index – Chad, Yemen, South Sudan, Somalia, Syria, Democratic Republic of Congo, Central African Republic, and Afghanistan – women die from pregnancy or childbirth at a rate more than double the world average. 

“It is telling and discouraging that the five countries with the highest maternal mortality (Afghanistan, Central African Republic, Chad, Somalia, and South Sudan) are all experiencing or recovering from conflict,” WHO said. 

This has knock on effects on the health outcomes of their potential children, too. Of the 54 countries on track to miss the SDG for child mortality, half are considered fragile or in conflict. 

Humanitarian crises push contraception down the priority list due to the increased urgency of finding food, shelter, safety, water, and other life or death necessities made scarce in times of crisis. 

International aid also prioritizes these essentials, meaning maternal health assistance is often an afterthought. Experts say changing this paradigm could save thousands of lives. 

“Delivery doesn’t wait. Whether it’s an earthquake or whether it’s COVID,” said Dr Anshu Banerjee, Assistant Director General for Universal Health Coverage at WHO. “[Maternal health services] need to be part of the core package for any intervention in a humanitarian setting.”

If the world continues on its current trajectory, an estimated one million women will die preventable deaths by 2030.

Image Credits: UN, UN, UNFPA, UNDP.

masks
Dr Maria van Kerkhove, WHO’s Covid-19 technical lead.

The World Health Organization (WHO) has reiterated its firm recommendation that wearing masks is an effective method to prevent the spread of COVID-19 in a media briefing on Wednesday.

Dr Maria Van Kerkhove, WHO’s technical lead for COVID-19, said that coronavirus is still in circulation and wearing appropriate face masks is one of the ways to prevent the spread of the virus. 

“I reiterate that the use of masks continues to be part of our strategy to reduce the spread. We have a strategy that is based on vaccinations, on distancing as much as possible as we go about our lives, wearing of well-fitting masks when we’re around others, and particularly on public transportation and certainly among health workers.”

In January 2023, Cochrane published a comprehensive analysis of 78 randomized controlled trials (RCTs) conducted in several countries over a period of time, including six RCTs conducted during COVID-19 pandemic, concluded that wearing face masks “makes little or no difference to the outcome of influenza‐like illness (ILI)/COVID-19 like illness compared to not wearing masks”. 

The study said that there is uncertainty about the effects of face masks. “The pooled results of RCTs did not show a clear reduction in respiratory viral infection with the use of medical/surgical masks. There were no clear differences between the use of medical/surgical masks compared with N95/P2 respirators in healthcare workers when used in routine care to reduce respiratory viral infection.”

“There was a systematic review that was published that was looking at randomized controlled trials,” Van Kerkhove said, adding that as an organization, the WHO looks at all available evidence on the issue. 

“We continue to look at all available evidence that is provided to us, that is published through this pandemic as well as looking at other studies of other respiratory diseases, including flu, influenza-like illness, acute respiratory infections and severe acute respiratory infections,” she added.

“Masks remain one of the recommendations that we have because we know that they are effective at preventing some of the transmission. They’re not perfect and that’s why we have a comprehensive strategy, a layered approach of many different types of interventions,” stressed Van Kerkhove.

Working around sanctions on Syria

The WHO also told the media briefing that it is making the best possible use of the pause in sanctions against Syria to ensure that aid reaches the people who have been affected by the earthquake. 

Around 47,100 people were killed in the devastating earthquake that struck Syria and parts of Turkiyë on 6 February. Several countries including the US have imposed sanctions on Syria in an attempt to pressurise the regime of Bashar al-Assad to stop killing civilians.

However, sanctions have been relaxed to enable aid to reach those affected by the earthquake. 

Explaining that the WHO is working with other UN partners to procure and mobilize medical equipment and supplies, Dr Abdi Rahaman Mahamud said that the relief work is moving in the right direction. 

In response to the global mobilization of help to Syria and Turkiyë, the US government released a compliance document on Tuesday for those willing to mobilize aid.

Image Credits: Robert Flummerfelt/ TNH, The New Humanitarian.

Alliance Global’s Andrii C shelters in the NGO’s basement in Lviv and waits for air raid sirens to finish. The organisation is helping to get treatment to people living with HIV.

On the eve of the first anniversary of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria has approved an additional $10.32 million in emergency funding to maintain essential HIV and tuberculosis (TB) services in Ukraine.

The funds are earmarked for HIV and TB treatment, prevention and care, including for internally displaced persons and hard-to-reach communities. 

Since the start of the war, more than 13.5 million people have been internally displaced or forced to flee to neighbouring countries as refugees.

“If displaced people don’t get the medicines they need, there is a high risk that they will actually die because of the lack of therapy,” said Dmytro Sherembei, head of 100% LIFE, a Global Fund-supported nongovernmental organization delivering HIV medications in war-affected Ukraine.

In the past year, the Global Fund has allocated $25.32 million in emergency funds in addition to $119.48 million allocated to Ukraine to support the fight against HIV and TB in the country over the 2021-2023 period. 

Ukraine has the second-largest HIV epidemic in Eastern Europe and Central Asia, and a high burden of TB, including drug-resistant TB, according to the Global Fund in a statement on Tuesday.

“Both HIV and TB require long-term treatment to reduce the risk of transmission and both diseases have the best outcome with early diagnosis. As people escape the fighting, they often lose access to health care and their medications. HIV and TB prevention and diagnosis services have also been significantly disrupted.”

Needs more desperate

“As the war rages on, the needs in the country are getting more severe and urgent,” said Peter Sands, the Global Fund’s Executive Director. 

“Damage and destruction to water, electricity and sanitation facilities, health facilities, as well as road and residential infrastructure continue to be reported across multiple areas throughout the country. The additional emergency funding that we are unlocking today is intended to support the government in filling the significant financing gaps across critical HIV and TB interventions. We will continue to monitor the situation closely.”

The World Health Organization (WHO) reports that over 1,200 health facilities in the country have been attacked, and 170 of these facilities have been destroyed, leaving healthcare workers and patients displaced, injured or dead. 

“It’s been a year since the Russian Federation’s invasion of Ukraine, and today, the fighting and deadly missile strikes continue, bringing more destruction and devastating impact in several oblasts of the country,” said Minister of Health of Ukraine Viktor Liashko. 

“Despite the crisis and challenges, Ukraine’s HIV and TB programs sustained operations. The Global Fund’s investments through the emergency funding, on top of the ongoing grant, have proven invaluable, especially as health facilities have been damaged or destroyed and people continue to be displaced, causing them to lose access to health care, including treatment for HIV and TB.”

Over the last 20 years, Ukraine has been a champion in maintaining long-term and innovative HIV and TB programs, according to the Global Fund.

More than 100 community-based and community-led organizations have been delivering HIV and TB services to vulnerable people. 

Image Credits: Global Fund.

SARS-Co-V2.

Fifty influential scientists have developed a coronavirus vaccines research and development (R&D) roadmap aimed at developing broadly protective vaccines to combat fast-evolving coronaviruses threatening humans.

“The COVID-19 pandemic marks the third time in just 20 years that a coronavirus has emerged to cause a public health crisis,” said Professor Michael Osterholm, director of the University of Minnesota’s Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy (CIDRAP). 

“Rather than waiting for a fourth coronavirus to emerge — or for the arrival of an especially dangerous SARS-CoV-2 variant — we must act now to develop better, longer-lasting and more broadly protective vaccines,” added Osterholm, whose centre spearheaded the development of the roadmap that was unveiled on Tuesday.

The roadmap sets out steps to accelerate the development of broadly effective coronavirus vaccines capable of preventing severe disease and death that are suitable for all regions worldwide.

New SARS-CoV-2 variants pose the most immediate threat and could evolve until they evade the protection of current vaccines. 

But the bigger fear is the emergence of a super-coronavirus that has the transmissibility of SARSCoV-2 combined with the deadliness of the Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus (MERS-CoV). MERS-CoV spilled over from camels to humans in 2012 and kills about a third of the people it infects. 

To head off such a threat, the roadmap proposes a number of approaches. One could involve a stepwise process, starting with vaccines to protect against SARS-CoV-2 variants. As knowledge about coronaviruses expands, it may be possible to develop vaccines that are capable of protecting against multiple types of coronaviruses, including those likely to spill over from animals to humans in the future. 

“It is critical that we start now to develop vaccines that are future-ready for coronaviruses circulating in animals now, that might infect humans and cause pandemics in the future as SARS-CoV-3 and beyond,” said Professor Linfa Wang, executive director of Singapore’s Programme for Research in Epidemic Preparedness and Response (PREPARE). 

Wang, who was part of the team that developed the roadmap, also said that the work was daunting: “The coronavirus diversity in bats is so great that we even don’t know how much we really know about them.”

Five work areas

The roadmap proposes five areas of work:

Virology: learning more about the global distribution of coronaviruses circulating in animal reservoirs that have the potential to spill over to humans. 

Immunology: learning more about human immunology to expand the breadth and durability of immune protection from vaccines and natural infection. This includes a better understanding of mucosal immunity, which may unlock new strategies to block infection such as nasal sprays. 

Vaccinology: identifying key preferred product characteristics for vaccines, including new technologies and identifying the best methods to assess vaccine efficacy. 

Animal and human infection models for vaccine research: expanding the range of suitable animal models, which is a key barrier to developing broadly protective coronavirus vaccines. 

Policy and financing: reinvigorating and sustaining a high level of political commitment and long-term investment in vaccine R&D and manufacturing to ensure the successful development and global distribution of broadly protective coronavirus vaccines.

While praising the current COVID-19 vaccines, Wellcome Trust’s Dr Charlie Weller, said the roadmap would research “new ways to deliver vaccines, such as skin patches or intranasal vaccines – and maybe even vaccines that could block transmission”. 

Constant mutation

“Coronaviruses such as SARS-CoV-2 are constantly mutating. With every infection, there is an interplay among host characteristics, past infection, and vaccination – each exerting further pressures on the virus to evolve and acquire further reproductive and fitness advantages,” wrote Dr Margaret Hamburg, former Food and Drug Administration (FDA) commissioner, and Dr  Gregory Poland, from the Mayo Clinic’s Vaccine Research Group in the US in a commentary published in the journal, Vaccine.

“As a consequence, we are chasing continually evolving viral opponents, leaving the global community in a reactive rather than proactive position in regard to vaccines, therapeutics, and public health policies.”

They warn that the global community cannot afford “to play reactive catch up continuously, chasing the latest variant”, or expect people to get vaccinated several times a year. 

However, Hamburg and Poland added that the roadmap also needs “a governance or administrative structure” to better coordinate vaccine R&D and track progress –and accountability – on the goals and milestones that will further facilitate and accelerate this process.

They point to the “siloed” activities by governments, industry and researchers, and how the roadmap can “build bridges between these various sectors” to reduce barriers and duplication, and improve efficiencies.

Image Credits: Johnson&Johnson.

COVID-19
Natural immunity provides strong protection against severe illness from COVID-19, but obtaining it carries its own set of risks.

New research published in The Lancet suggests that individuals who have previously been infected with COVID-19 have an 88% lower risk of hospitalization or death than those who have not. The study is the most comprehensive review of data on natural immunity to date, covering data from 65 studies across 19 countries published since January 2021.

The analysis found that the strength and 10-month duration of protection conferred by natural immunity against severe illness is “at least” on par with that provided by two doses of Moderna and Pfizer-BioNtech’s mRNA vaccines. The study’s authors said the data suggests natural immunity in people recently infected with COVID-19 should be recognised by policymakers but warned against using their findings to undermine the importance of vaccination due to the risks associated with the first infection.

“Vaccination is the safest way to acquire immunity, whereas acquiring natural immunity must be weighed against the risks of severe illness and death associated with the initial infection,” lead author Dr Stephen Lim of the University of Washington’s School of Medicine.

Researchers also cautioned that differences between the infectious properties of COVID-19 variants mean protection levels can vary. Infection by pre-Omicron variants, for example, yielded substantially lower natural immunity protection against reinfection by the now dominant Omicron BA.1 variant, with just 36% protection remaining after the 10-month window. Nevertheless, protection against hospitalization and death remained high at 88%.

“The weaker cross-variant immunity with the Omicron variant and its sub-lineages reflects the mutations they have that make them escape built-up immunity more easily than other variants,” report co-author Dr Hasan Nassereldine of the University of Washington’s School of Medicine said. “The limited data we have on natural immunity protection from the Omicron variant and its sub-lineages underscores the importance of continued assessment, particularly since they are estimated to have infected 46% of the global population between November 2021 and June 2022.”

The analysis excluded studies examining “hybrid immunity” (the combination of immune responses from vaccination and natural infection) as well as data relating to Omicron XBB and its sub-lineages. The authors encouraged further research to fill the gaps in the study.

DRC’s president President Félix Tshisekedi (centre) hugs the new Director General of the Africa CDC, Jean Kaseya.

Nine months after John Nkengasong left Africa CDC to head PEPFAR, the African Union has now elected a Director General for the continent’s leading public health institution who has the task of finding new ways to engage continental and global leaders in Africa’s public health challenges in the post-COVID era. 

A new Director-General has been appointed to the Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention (Africa CDC). He is 53-year old Jean Kaseya, a Democratic Republic of Congo national who also has a track record as a seasoned international health professional, with past stints at the World Health Organization, Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance and the Clinton Health Access Initiative.

Confirming his appointment, Kaseya immediately underlined his intention to work closely with the World Health Organization (WHO) on challenges that range from expanding universal health coverage in Africa, to strengthening local manufacturing capacity as well as disease surveillance in the post-COVID period. 

“Today, after the confirmation, my first call was with Dr [Mashidiso] Moeti, Regional Director, WHO/AFRO region to reiterate my commitment to work closely with WHO to address health issues in Africa,” he stated, putting aside the rift that opened between the Africa CDC and WHO last summer over the degree of autonomy that Africa CDC should have in declaring regional public health emergencies.

Kaseya was appointed by African Heads of State following an election that took place on the sidelines of the 36th session of the African Union, which was held in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, 18-19 February. While a total of 180 candidates vied for the position, Kaseya and Dr Magda Robalo from Guinea-Bissau were the finalists for the position. Africa CDC acting director Dr Ahmed Ogwell Ouma from Kenya was also in the running.

The win by Kaseya has been seen as a diplomatic coup for Kinshasa, which has confronted repeated bouts of deadly Ebola outbreaks over the past five years, while also facing a proxy war with M23 rebels in its eastern region.

A statement by DRC’s presidency described Kaseya’s appointment as “an epilogue of a long, secret diplomatic battle waged for six months by President Félix Tshisekedi”.

Finding new opportunities to promote public health priorities

But now that Kaseya has been named to the position, he will face a formidable series of challenges in advancing a “new public health order” for Africa, as per the Africa CDC strategy elaborated over the past few months, said Dr Javier Guzman, Director of Global Health Policy at the Center for Global Development.

Kaseya will need to find new ways to make the Africa CDC and its public health priorities stand out in the post-COVID era – amongst the multiple other challenges that Africa faces in trade, finance, climate change and diplomacy.   

In his election manifesto issued as part of his bid for the position, the new director general highlighted the need for more accountability at the centre. He also aims to propose an African Air Tax to be paid by airline passengers with the proceeds going to financing Africa CDC’s health support to countries.

Nkengasong, an experienced public health professional with prior experience at the US Centers for Disease Control, drove the African agency to unprecedented prominence during the pandemic. He staged weekly press briefings on the pandemic, and positioned the agency as a leader in deals to finance and distribute COVID-19 vaccines, and later, manufacture them locally.  He also worked with African Union (AU) member states to strengthen disease surveillance and reporting capacity, not only for SARS-CoV2 but more broadly.

But COVID-19 is no longer the priority that it used to be, Guzman noted.  Instead, many countries are now preoccupied with a burgeoning fiscal and debt crisis, as well as multiple other competing priorities.  These include accelerating the African Continental Free Trade Area, the main agenda item at the 36th AU Assembly, as well as confronting the growing effects of climate change and the war in Ukraine on food security, and beyond. 

“Dr Kaseya needs to bring a clear and focused vision to Africa CDC’s agenda, secure financial sustainability and build efficient operations, proactively reset the continental/regional balance, and secure the place of Africa CDC within a changing global health architecture. He will have the challenging job of maintaining the status of Africa CDC as the leading public health institution for the continent and delivering on the promise of an autonomous public health agency, a status granted by the African Union Assembly in February 2022,” Guzman said.

From general practitioner to Africa CDC

Jean Kaseya (right), new director general of the Africa CDC and a DRC national, chats with DRC president President Félix Tshisekedi.

With a mix of national and international public health experience, Kaseya has a background that is, in some ways, similar Nkengasong’s own when he took on the Africa CDC position in 2017. 

Kaseya began his career as a general practitioner at the General Hospital in the DRC’s capital, Kinshasa. In June 1998, he became the Chief of the Health Zone of Kahemba in DRC’s Province of Bandundu, which lies just north east of Kinshasa.

The following year, he became the DRC Health Ministry’s chief of immunization, supporting national, regional and district levels on planning, implementation, supervision, and monitoring of mass campaigns for polio, measles, tetanus, yellow fever and vitamin A supplementation. 

In this capacity, he also supported national, regional and district levels on planning, supervision, monitoring and assessment of a WHO-promoted Expanded Program on Immunization, building on the momentum of the smallpox eradication effort to ensure that children everywhere could obtain a basic set of life-saving vaccines. Participating in national meetings and technical commissions brought him greater prominence nationally.

In July 2000, Kaseya became a senior advisor to the DRC president, counselling the president on health and youth issues including social development, social protection, and youth empowerment.

“I had to develop the vision of the President and draft his speeches in relation to these sectors. I had to review policies and related documents submitted by the Government to facilitate endorsement and signature by the President. I had to attend national and international meetings to discuss the President’s vision around Health, Education and Youth empowerment,” Kaseya stated.

He also worked with the US CDC, USAID, the Global Fund and UNICEF, leading multimillion-dollar projects on malaria, HIV/AIDS and primary healthcare. At Gavi, the vaccine alliance, Kaseya served as country representative and head of a Gavi-funded project implementation consortium of NGOs that also include the Red Cross and Rotary.

In January 2008, Kaseya joined the WHO as a technical coordinator for the organization’s Meningitis Vaccine Project (MVP). The following year, he joined Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance as a senior programme manager, leading the GAVI program for African countries.

Most recently, he worked with the Clinton Health Access Initiative as Senior Country Director for DRC and as Global Team Lead for the initiative’s African Health Diagnostics Platform/ European Investment Bank project. In this capacity, he was responsible for increasing access to high-quality, reliable and affordable diagnostic services in sub-Saharan African countries.

From Nkengasong to Kaseya

When Nkengasong left Africa CDC in May 2022 after being appointed by the US Senate to lead the US President’s Emergency Plan For AIDS Relief (PEPFAR), he described the Africa CDC as a now ”formidable” public health agency. Several weeks later, the AU’s Executive Council adopted an amended statute for Africa CDC as an autonomous health body.

Africa CDC’s promotion to a more independent status was not without controversy.  An internal memo circulated by WHO raised concerns over proposals to empower the African health body to declare a regional “public health emergency of continental security” as part of the agency’s elevated status. 

While the process of appointing a new director general was underway, Ouma, the centre’s acting director, led the development of a strategy for a ”new public health order“. Among other goals, the strategy aims to strengthen African institutions for public health, strengthen the public health workforce, expand local manufacturing of health products, increase domestic investment in health and promote action-oriented and respectful partnerships. 

Ogwell, a Kenyan epidemiologist, reportedly sought, but failed to secure the permanent appointment as CDC director.  Even so, the pillars of “new public health order” are expected to remain guiding principles for a Kaseya-led leadership, as well.

Image Credits: Presidency, DRC, DRC Presidency.

Patients wait to be treated at Shri Maharaja Hari Singh (SMHS) Hospital. Doctors report a surge in heart attacks that may be linked to cough mixture.

The deaths of children and young people related to contaminated cough syrups made by Indian companies have exposed India’s lack of regulation, which is also enabling the over-consumption of over-the-counter cough syrups in the country.

After completing her household chores, 42-year-old Shameema Akhter was tending to a cow outside her home in Shangas village in southern Kashmir. It was drizzling but the January sun had started to come out after a heavy snowfall. Akhter crossed the apple orchard through a narrow lane that connected to her house and greeted me. 

She led me inside her house and offered me a kangri (an earthen fire pot used by Kashmiris to keep warm). As she sat down to talk about her son who died of a heart attack, she sighed heavily and took a few moments to compose herself.

“I do not know what happened to him, you tell me who dies of a heart attack at 18?” asked Akhter. “I have called him Raja (king) since the day the nurse put him in my lap… When the doctors said he had died of a heart attack, I could not believe it. Those words are still ringing in my head.”

On 6 January, Akhter’s son, Muneer Ahmed, had played cricket all day in a nearby field with his friends. In the evening, he complained of a headache. The family thought he had caught a cold during the day while playing outside. “I gave him some lukewarm water, food, and medicine (paracetamol),” said Akhter.

During the night, Ahmed complained of chest pain and family members rushed him to the nearby district hospital but doctors declared him dead on arrival. 

While there is no proof that cough medicine was the cause of Ahmed’s death, there is mounting evidence that anti-cold medicines and syrups can exacerbate conditions leading to death – and anti-cold medicines are sold in Kashmir and elsewhere across India without any checks.

Even opioid-based cough syrups are sold without a doctor’s prescription. These medicines, especially cough syrups, have caused deaths in Jammu and Kashmir as well as in other Indian states such as Himachal Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh and Bihar. 

Shameema Akhter is not the only mother who has such a story to share. Dozens of others in Kashmir share the same ordeal. 

Twenty-five-year-old Basit Ashraf, an advocate by profession, reached his home in the Rawalpora area of Srinagar on 24 January at around 7pm. He too complained of sudden chest pains and passed away before his family get medical help or rush him to the hospital.

Doctors warn against cough syrups

SMHS hospital in Srinagar, Kashmir.

Doctors attend to 18 to 20 cardiac arrest cases every day at each of Kashmir’s capital city of Sringer’s two main hospitals, Shri Maharaja Hari Singh (SMHS) Hospital and Sher-i-Kashmir Institute of Medical Sciences (SKIMS).

Dr Irfan Ahmad Bhat, a senior cardiologist at SMHS Hospital, told The Kashmir Monitor that heart attack victims were getting younger and believes that over-use of cough mixture could be a cause. These medicines can trigger high blood pressure, kidney failure, and heart attacks.

While India is the world’s biggest producer of generic medicine, its regulatory system is out of date, harming Indians as well as people in lower-middle-income countries (LMICs) who receive its exports.

And possible death by cough syrup is one of the most vivid examples.

Contaminated syrup

The WHO issued warnings of contamination against these paediatric cough syrups distributed in Gambia.

When paracetamol syrup, cough syrup, or anti-cold syrup is manufactured, it needs a solvent to dissolve all its active ingredients, add sweetness, and act as a lubricant. The solvents used are either glycerine or propylene glycol, a clear, faintly sweet, and viscous liquid.

Glycerine  Indian Pharmacopoeia (IP) grade is used in drugs and medicines, while industrial glycerine, which can contain diethylene glycol and ethylene glycol, is used in chemicals and cosmetics, according to the good manufacturing practice framed by the WHO. 

Between December 2019 and January 2020, 12 children in Udhampur aged between the ages of 11 months and four years died after consuming Cold Best-PC cough syrup, while 10 children died in Himachal Pradesh. The cough mixture had been diluted with diethylene glycol. 

This issue gained international attention last year when Indian-made cough syrups were linked to the deaths of 66 children in Gambia. After a Gambian parliamentary enquiry and a World Health Organization (WHO) investigation, the WHO announced on 5 October 2022, that four cough syrups made by Maiden Pharmaceuticals Limited contained “unacceptable amounts of diethylene glycol and ethylene glycol as contaminants”. 

In December, the Uzbekistan health ministry reported that 18 children in the country had also died from side effects of cough syrup produced by an Indian pharmaceutical firm, Marion Biotech based in Uttar Pradesh . The WHO issued a warning against two of the company’s cough syrups after the deaths, finding that they were contaminated.

Out-of-date drug laws

India is the world’s largest exporter of generic drugs — its sales exceeded $22 billion last year. Around 20% of India’s pharma exports go to Africa. During the COVID-19 pandemic, India supplied more than 200 million doses of vaccines to nearly 100 countries, most of them in the Global South.

But these drugs are regulated under the  Drugs and Cosmetics Act of 1940, a decades-old law which has had no amendments or changes over the years. 

Prashant Reddy, a lawyer specialising in drug regulation and intellectual property, who recently co-authored the book, The Truth Pill: The Myth of Drug Regulation in India, said: “Apart from these recent scandals where children have actually died, there have been plenty of complaints from countries including Vietnam, Ghana, Sri Lanka, and Nigeria. The government of India is aware of those complaints. They just don’t know what steps to take to counter the situation.” 

While there is a national regulatory authority, the Drugs Controller General of India (DCGI), every state has its own drug regulator that is able to authorise drugs. Currently, India has 38 such regulators, which is one of the major hurdles in the regulatory system.

“In 2013, the government introduced the Drugs and Cosmetics Amendment Bill, which would have helped and given the Central Drugs Standard Control Organisation (CDSCO) more powers over regulating exports. But that Bill never went through parliament and was withdrawn by the next government when came into power,” said Reddy. 

“After that, there has been complete paralysis when it comes to policy on drug regulation. In July 2022, a new law was framed and advertised for comments from experts and the public but this new law is a copy of the old law with a few minor changes. Basically, the government is not giving it serious enough thought on how to tackle the issue,” she added.

Pharmacy of the world

India is often referred to as the pharmacy of the world. The country supplies vaccines and generic medicines to high and low-and-middle-income countries (LMICs) alike.

However, high-income countries like the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) can, and do, conduct their own inspections of Indian facilities (India has the largest number of FDA-approved plants outside the US).

But most LMICs don’t have the capacity to do so and, either rely on global regulatory mechanisms such as the WHO prequalification system or the national regulatory authority of the exporting country, in this case, India.  

Dr Javier Guzman, Director of Global Health Policy and Senior Fellow at the Center for Global Development, said that quality-related scandals such as those in Gambia or Uzbekistan, erode the trust of LMICs. It is clear that the regulatory system in India has to be strengthened if the country still wants to be the pharmacy of the world.

“The Indian government must align regulatory standards across the country, making sure state-level agencies have the same stringency as the national regulatory authority, the Drugs Controller General of India (DCGI),” Guzman told Health Policy Watch.

“The government of India must recognize that the presence of multiple regulatory authorities under different state governments fractures accountability, and vested interests of small, often lower-quality manufacturers inhibit stricter enforcement.  That’s why DCGI should be responsible for guaranteeing that all regulatory functions, including those implemented by state agencies, are performed adequately,” added Guzman.

International humiliation

Malini Aisola, co-convener of All India Drug Action Network (AIDAN), highlighted that the lack of transparency of the Indian government has created a serious dent in its reputation globally. 

After these international incidents, the regulators should have retracted the batches of these syrups from the market and conducted a thorough investigation but nothing of that sort happened, said Aisola.

“Even when the Gambian government and WHO had proof about the substances in the medicine, they denied those reports too. Instead of investigating the matter and coming up with transparent reports, the government maintained a narrative that WHO is causing a dent to their reputation,” she added. 

While the Indian government conducted an investigation into Maiden Pharmaceuticals, the expert panel it set up claimed that the clinical information shared by the WHO was “inadequate” to determine the cause of the children’s deaths. 

The WHO has disputed this claim, saying that it had supplied India will all the relevant information, and there were very high levels of contamination in the cough syrups made by Maiden.

Since this incident, the WHO intends to conduct independent reviews of its member states’ mechanisms to reduce these incidents. 

But Aisola questions the WHO’s power to intervene: “WHO is not a regulatory body and they can’t have mechanisms to enforce quality or to carry out surveillance within countries. That remains the function of the national governments. Should they have wide powers? That might be helpful but that would take a massive investment and place WHO in possible conflict with the government.”

Image Credits: WHO, Safina Nabi.

Electron microscope image of SARS-CoV2.

Just 66 days after the SARS-CoV2 genetic sequence was shared by a Chinese scientist online, the first COVID-19 vaccines went into production – in record time for R&D that yielded the first approved vaccines less than a year later. 

But there are looming concerns that the relatively open models of data and pathogen sharing that oiled the wheels of R&D during the COVID era could turn more slowly in future pandemics if countries, scientists or research institutions decide to hold back know-how about critical genome sequences and samples in order to reap financial benefits or other concessions.

Already, the Nagoya Protocol of the Convention on Biodiversity has fostered a vast patchwork of laws and regulations, originally intended to protect countries’ indigenous biodiversity, but also extending to regulations on pathogen sharing, which vary from country to country. 

A new pandemic accord currently being negotiated could represent an opportunity to better clarify the muddied waters.  But there is a risk that accord rules could also make sharing even more difficult, said Bart Van Vooren, an European Union jurist and life sciences expert

Van Vooren spoke at a webinar sponsored by the International Federation of Pharmaceutical Manufacturers and Associations (IFPMA) following the recent publication of an IFPMA-commissioned report on the ins and outs of pathogen sharing, by the UK-based law firm Covington, where Van Vooren is a partner.  

A growing flashpoint in negotiations

Bart Van Vooren describes the issues associated with the Nagoya Protocol on access and benefit-sharing of genetic resources

The four-part report provides a detailed review of existing networks for pathogen sample- and data-sharing, the rules governing that sharing; and perceptions of what works and does not, based upon interviews with dozens of scientists from both the public and private sector. The aim, said Van Vooren, is to inform the negotiations of the WHO pandemic accord.

Linking access to pathogen data to the sharing of benefits from drugs and vaccines developed to combat these pathogens is a growing flashpoint in the pandemic accord negotiations. 

Feelings run particularly high in developing countries that were unable to get early access to COVID-19 tests, treatments and vaccines – largely because these were hoarded by rich countries.  To make matters worse, countries like South Africa were punished by travel sanctions after reporting on the emergence of the SARS-CoV2 Omicron variant, including the publication of its genomic sequence, as the variant swept across southern Africa in late 2021, and the world in early 2022. 

At the same time, the pharmaceutical industry and many researchers have argued that rapid and transparent sharing of such data is critical to mount an effective public health response.

“When we spoke to the interviewees on a confidential basis, whether they were from the public or private sector, whether the background is North or South, everyone agrees that something has to give. This needs to be resolved. How, of course, a different question,” observed Van Vooren. 

“Honestly, it scares me because there is a very short timeline to flesh this out in the next two years, and it could be another Nagoya Protocol. Or it could be a solution to another Nagoya Protocol.  So it is concerning”, said Van Vooren, who is regarded as an international expert on the protocol.

Nagoya Protocol: 92 countries have laws; 12 have a public health emergency exception  

The core intent of the Nagoya Protocol on access and benefit sharing (ABS) of genetic resources is to regulate commercial appropriation of countries’ plant, animal species, and related genetic resources to enable countries to claim benefits for the use and development of indigenous assets.  

However, the system has led to a global patchwork of diverse rules and regulations, and 92 countries have enacted their own distinct legislation.  Only 12 of the 92 countries that have put regulations in place make provision for public health emergencies.

“There are nearly 100 ABS laws in the world,” said Van Vooren. “Nearly 100 ABS rules to deal with  77 laws applying to viruses and 39  likely to apply for genetic sequence data. Only 12 have a public health emergency exception in place.”

Obtaining a permit to use a pathogen for pharmaceutical R&D can be a long and arduous process under many national ABS systems, even when public health exceptions are in place. 

“At least five interviewees noted difficulties in getting Zika samples from Brazil, so diagnostics could not be tested against the local strain,” said Van Vooren.

During the recent Mpox outbreak, “a sample held by a European biobank could not be shared, and a national authority never responded to a request for a permit,” he added.

As a result, scientists in both the private and public sectors often look for workarounds, he said. 

“They want to avoid ABS jurisdictions, with a preference for ‘unburdened’ samples,” he said. “This often means waiting for the ‘returning traveller’”, an infected person will ‘import’ the pathogen from which samples and data can be extracted. 

“The intent of Nagoya is noble – equitable benefit sharing – but how it’s been implemented has completely missed the objective. The transactional approach of attaching value to pathogens but not to public health doesn’t seem to work.

“The problem is that politics have replaced science and common science.  Everyone agrees that something has to give.”

Networks for sharing pathogen samples are ‘like a bowl of spaghetti’ 

Complicating matters further is the fact that existing systems of pathogen data and sample sharing operate in a highly decentralized and fragmented manner. 

“It’s a very complex spaghetti bowl of how pathogens are really shared… what we found was a patchwork of practices, and not the very rigorous organization of how pathogen sharing works within disease surveillance networks.” 

As examples, he cited four leading disease surveillance networks, hosted or supported by WHO. These include: the Global Influenza Surveillance and Response System (GISRS); Global Polio Laboratory Network; the Global Outbreak Alert and Response Network (GOARN); and the Global Antimicrobial Use and Resistance Surveillance System (GLASS).   

“But there are quite a few others out there too. The animal foot and mouth networks, the arboviruses. 

”There is huge diversity and a very fragmented system of disease surveillance out there. It is due to a mixture of reasons.  There are scientific reasons – no pathogen is created equal, ….dengue has a kind of reverse seasonality when compared to influenza. And there are differing public health objectives that are also fragmented.” 

Generally, the older networks like the influenza (GISRS) and polio networks are able to share data and samples most efficiently because they represent public-private collaborations built up over decades, including personal relationships of trust between the partners involved. 

“You don’t have so much of the discussions of North versus South, or commercial versus non-commercial, private versus public,” said Van Vooren. “The global influenza system has really managed to rise above these arguably false dichotomies, and it’s the same in the Global Polio Network. Without trust, we would not be as close as we are to global polio eradication.

“With GoARN, you don’t have the all-year-round collaboration between different members of the network.  And that creates difficulties because people don’t know each other as well as they would in an all year round surveillance system.” 

Within these highly fragmented, but also interconnected networks, sharing of samples and data on pathogens may be limited within the network itself; exchanged routinely within the network, but not outside of it; or sharing may also be more open to outside institutions.

Only in the GISRS, is sharing is formalized with a “standard material transfer agreement.” obsrved Van Vooren.  In other networks, it’s much more informal and “sometimes only on a case by case basis.” 

Multiple biobanks and networks 

And that’s not the end of it. Extensive sharing of biological data and samples also takes place via a parallel universe of global and regional databases and biobanks. 

In terms of databases, leaders include, GSAID, global influenza database [also being used for SARS-CoV2], as well as GenBank, the US National Institutes of Health Genetic Sequence database.

Then there are the biobanks, which are large repositories of physical pathogen samples. 

“It’s hard to quantify but we got the impression that when a public health Institute or a company for R&D wants to get access to a pathogen, very often it will work through a network of biobanks, such as the Institut Pasteur, or the European BioBank, or the American Type Culture Collection (ATCC), or BEI. So it’s completely outside the surveillance networks, and very often just through bilateral relationships between a company and a public health Institute, a university and another university,” Van Vooren said. 

Decentralization is an asset and a limitation

While the systems in place may sound chaotic, they offer some advantages: decentralization can enable more rapid response to certain emergencies. And they offer diverse specializations and response capacities.  

“Physically decentralized structures are uniquely prepared in these early stages. They are quick to pick up a pathogen and to enable quick sharing with your R&D community. 

“What many interviewees told us is that especially these networks like European BioBank,BEI, or Institut Pasteur, that has a presence in Paris but also in Dakar and other locations, these kinds of network biobanks … that offer access to physical materials, are essential in order to respond to the early stage of an outbreak.

“I think it’s really important to keep in mind when all the participants look at what is being negotiated under the pandemic accord and the International Health Regulations. It is not really a centralized network, and as far as we are told, it also cannot be.”

Benefitting the host country is ‘insane’  

Thomas Cueni, Director General of the IFPMA.

Prior to the COVID pandemic, the intricacies of pathogen and genome data sharing were a “niche area” of interest, observed Thomas Cueni, the IFPMA’s Director-General, who also spoke at the forum about the broader policy implications of the current systems.  

“When I started to talk about the Nagoya Protocol, no one understood. The pandemic changed that. It showed how fundamental these things are. 

The fact that only 66 days after the SARS CoV2 genome sequence was first published by a Chinese scientist on an open-access platform in January 2020 clinical trials began, underlined to the broader public the significance of such data sharing.  

“And yet the sharing of data and pathogens remains voluntary, which really begs the question of how something so vital to our global health security, how can we leave that to chance?” asked Cueni. 

“During the COVID pandemic, nobody really cared about Nagoya’s ABS provisions because basically everybody agreed that public health should predominate. My concern is that this might change… countries may be tempted not to facilitate this interactive sharing of pathogens that is so much needed to respond to epidemics. 

“Conservatively COVID-19 cost us $15 trillion in economic losses, apart from the millions of lives lost. And yet based on Nagoya, you would give a benefit to the country from which SARS CoV 2 emanated, which is pretty absurd. Actually one could even say that it’s a little bit insane.

“And at the end of the day, pathogens in today’s world are travelling fast, which means that if you try to create obstacles in terms of pathogen sharing it’s just a question of days or weeks before they show up in genetic sequencing in the UK or the US, or another country, which hopefully does have a public health exception (to the Nagoya Protocol).”

COVID-19 was the ‘exception’, not the rule

Furthermore, Cueni adds, while the COVID pandemic drew multiple pharma actors into the fray of rapid-fire R&D, this is “the exception rather than the rule” when emerging diseases are concerned. 

In most other global public health emergencies recognized by the WHO over the past 15 years, it has been difficult to identify pharma partners to develop vaccines and treatments, he contended.  Not incidentally, most of those viruses also leapt from animals to humans in low- and middle-income countries where the risks of infection by communities living around degraded forests, or engaging in unsafe contact with wildlife or domestic animal production, are much higher.

“When I look at seven cases where WHO so far has declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern – whether it was swine flu, Ebola, Zika or more recently, monkeypox, COVID was the exception rather than the rule. In most instances, basically you had to search for more than a couple of companies willing to run the risk; willing to invest. And we really need to be careful not to create obstacles, which would delay and maybe hinder our ability to have rapid countermeasures… in other important outbreaks, such as Ebola.”   

Sharing benefits – with the world

At the same time, the IFPMA director-general admits that for “common sense” to prevail in global rules around pathogen data sharing, the benefits of tests, treatments and vaccines thus developed will also have to be shared more equitably. 

But that means sharing benefits with the world, not only with the country from which the pathogen first emerged. 

“I do hope that common sense prevails,” he said with reference to language in the current “zero draft” of the treaty, which he argues risks creating more obstacles to sharing. “But I do believe that, in order for that to happen, we from the private and  the public sector need to come up with a response. 

“How can we create trust that, in the next pandemic, we will have a more equitable rollout of these vaccines, tests and treatments? We need to address that,” he admits.

The pharma industry’s recent Berlin Declaration takes a big step in the right direction, he argues:  “Industry has expressed our commitment to early access, to learn from what went wrong during the COVID pandemic, namely, companies willing to reserve an allocation of real-time production of vaccines, treatments and diagnostics for priority population in lower-income countries and to take measures to make them available and affordable.

“But this industry commitment will not really work unless countries with manufacturing capacity, big countries such as the US or India are also willing to sign up.

“We actually wholeheartedly say that more needs to be done in the future to address the shortcomings of COVID response. Each partner in the global health space …. has a role to play in the overall social contract to address future pandemic preparedness and response and ensure equity is at the forefront.”

Image Credits: NIAID-RML (https://www.niaid.nih.gov/, Convginton , Covington, Covington .