People’s exposure to heat is increasing in Ethiopia due to climate change, which is also causing water shortage.

Heat is the deadliest of extreme weather events, and heat-related mortality could be 30 times higher than previously thought, killing 500,000 people annually between 2000 and 2019.

Yet only half the world’s governments have heat warning services, less than a quarter (23%) of health ministries use meteorological information to monitor climate-sensitive health risks, and only 26 countries have climate-informed, heat-health early warning systems.

These are some of the key findings of the 2023 State of Climate Services Report, prepared by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and partners, which was released on Thursday.

In assessing progress made in climate services for health globally, the report finds the health sector “ill-prepared to safeguard society”.

Addressing the report’s launch, WMO Secretary-General Prof Petteri Taalas said that, by the latter part of this century, “we are going to face very severe combined heat and humidity stress cases, especially at low latitudes”.

Prof Petteri Taalas, WMO Secretary General

Taalas added that, typically, during heatwaves, air quality was also poor: “When we had the 2003 heatwave Europe, there were 75,000 casualties and a large part of the deaths were related to poor air quality as we had a fairly high concentration of surface ozone.

“During these kinds of events, especially in urban areas, we also have challenges with ultrafine particles. That was the case in 2010, when Russia was facing a heat wave and 50,000 people died. There was also fairly poor air quality due to forest fires and peat fires, and we faced a similar situation in Canada this year,” said Taalas.

“And we know from the most recent IPCC [Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change] report that practically the whole world has been experiencing an increase of heat waves. About half of the planet has been facing increased flooding events and a third has faced drought,” he added. 

Climate impacts on health

World Health Organization (WHO) Director-General Dr Tedros Adhanon Ghebreyesus said the report “highlights the need for tailored climate information to support the health sector on a wide range of functions from heat health warning systems to mapping the risk of infectious diseases”. 

“It also calls for more to be done to prepare the health community for future shocks and pressures due to climate variability. Going forward, we must work together to make high-quality climate services available to all communities and support the health and well-being of people facing the impacts of climate change,” added Tedros.

Maria Neira, WHO’s Director of the Environment, Climate Change and Health, said that the data generated by the WMO and partners was key in assisting the health sector.

“If we use this very powerful data, and we put it at the services of the health care system, we can be better prepared to respond and prevent events from heat waves to other extreme weather events to drought, to potential outbreaks of infectious diseases,” said Neira.

Joy Shumake-Guillemot, Lead of the WHO/WMO Joint Climate and Health Office at WMO, summarising some of the report’s key findings.

Joy Shumake-Guillemot, WHO/WMO Joint Climate and Health office lead, detailed the “wide and varied” impact of climate on health, from the spread of infectious diseases such as dengue and malaria to impacts on food systems and air quality.

But she said one positive is that health has become a policy priority within the national climate policies in almost all countries and there is a “huge opportunity” to bring together climate adaptation and climate science to “help inform the decisions and policymakers to prepare communities that are vulnerable to climate change worldwide to adapt to the health risks”.

As usual, lack of finances is a problem. Currently, just 0.2% of total bilateral and multilateral adaptation finance supports health-focused projects. 

Fiji is vulnerable to sea levels rising and floods, exacerbating waterborne and vector-borne diseases.

The report includes case studies of successful partnerships between health and meteorological services. In Fiji, for example, the Ministry of Health and the meteorological services have data-sharing agreements to track waterborne and vector-borne diseases as the country battles with sea level rise and extreme weather events.

Argentina’s public institutions have been working with their research community to develop evidence-based public warnings for extreme heat for specific locations and populations. 

“In the first year of the launch of this heat-health early warning system, Argentina has launched 987 alerts across the country that have helped their public services and their communities to better prepare for the heat season,” said Shumake-Guillemot.

Meanwhile, in Europe an estimated 40 million people suffer from seasonal allergies and the region’s AutoPollen project predicts, detects and reports pollen concentrations in real time to doctors, patients and allergy patient associations via an online system and mobile app.

Way forward to COP28 and beyond

“Despite examples of success, data shows that the health sector is under-utilizing available climate knowledge and tools. At the same time, climate services need to be further enhanced to fully satisfy the health sector requirements,” the report notes.

Meanwhile, Neira told the launch that health is firmly on the agenda of the next global climate meeting, COP28.

“There will be a special ministerial high-level roundtable and the first-ever health day at COP28,” said Neira.

“This is not only to raise the voice of the health community to explain how bad [climate change] is impacting our health, but to ask for more action and to demonstrate that the health community is now very much into the political agenda and in pushing for the reduction of emissions and adaptation,” she added.

Wellcome Trust’s Madeleine Thomson, head of impacts and adaptation, predicts “a tsunami of demand coming to the climate community for climate information relevant to health”. 

“At the moment, we do not have a well-developed health community that is capacitated to ask the right questions, seek the right partnerships, and engage effectively,” said Thomson, but added that a lot more could be done to bring the health and climate communities together.

Image Credits: Oxfam East Africa.

A climate early warning system in Zambia.

Wealthy nations are falling tens of billions of dollars short of their pledge to help climate-vulnerable regions adapt to a warming planet, widening an already vast gap in funding and leaving millions at risk, according to a new report from the UN Environment Programme (UNEP).

The report, released on Thursday, found that international financial flows for climate adaptation in developing countries fell to just $21 billion in 2021, down 15% from a peak of $25.2 billion between 2017 and 2020.

This is a fraction of the estimated cost of helping low-income countries adapt to the worst effects of climate change, which UNEP estimates to be 10 to 18 times greater than current levels.

The annual gap in adaptation financing alone is now estimated at $194 billion to $366 billion, an increase of 50% from the UNEP’s estimate from last year.

The $21 billion provided by advanced economies in 2021 is equal to just $3 for each of the 6.82 billion people living in the 152 countries classified as developing by the International Monetary Fund. 

Adaptation costs in climate-vulnerable countries will soar as the planet warms, UNEP warned, exacerbating the adaptation gap unless countries step up to provide funding.

“The world is sleeping on adaptation even when the wake-up call that nature has been sending us is becoming ever more shrill,” Inger Andersen, Executive Director of UNEP, said at a press conference on Thursday. “This year we saw temperature records again being broken. We saw more floods, more heat waves, more droughts, and more wildfires [inflict] misery upon very vulnerable communities.”

The UNEP report comes as the world heads into the final quarter of what is set to be the hottest year on record. The average global temperature on a third of days in 2023 has already exceeded 1.5C over pre-industrial levels. 

“The international community should be throwing billions of dollars at helping developing nations to adapt to these impacts – but it isn’t,” said Andersen.

The UNEP report also sets the stage for COP29, the critical UN climate summit to be held in Dubai later this month. World leaders at the two-week summit will attempt to reverse the current trajectory of global fossil fuel emissions, which is on track to warm the planet by 2.4C to 2.8C by 2100 under a business-as-usual scenario.

A study published in Nature on Monday found that the planet will be locked into a future over 1.5C in just under three years, in early 2029.

“Storms, fires, floods, drought and extreme temperatures are becoming more frequent and more ferocious, and they’re on course to get far worse,” UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres said in a statement accompanying the UNEP report. 

“Yet as needs rise, action is stalling,” said Guterres. “The world must take action to close the adaptation gap and deliver climate justice.” 

Why is the adaptation gap widening? 

The adaptation gap – the difference between the amount of money needed to allow developing countries to adapt to climate change and the financing that governments have made available – is widening as the risks posed by climate change in developing countries escalate. 

Three main reasons explain the widening gap.

First, climate change is happening faster and with more severe impacts than previously thought. This means countries on the frontlines of the climate crisis need to do more to adapt, which requires more money. Fifty-five of the world’s most vulnerable economies have already lost over $500 billion to the climate crisis in the past two decades, according to a recent study.

“On the basis of the IPCC’s (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) sixth assessment report, we anticipate higher impacts from climate change, even in the short term,” said Paul Watkiss, lead author of the finance section of the UNEP report. “Higher [climate] impacts means we have to do more adaptation.”

Second, international funding for adaptation is not keeping pace with the increasingly urgent needs of developing countries. International public adaptation finance fell by 15% in 2021, despite the proven economic benefits of investing in adaptation.

Every $1 billion invested in infrastructure to protect people from coastal flooding could save $14 billion in economic damages, UNEP found. And for every $16 billion invested in agriculture each year, 78 million people could be spared climate crisis-related starvation or chronic hunger.

The authors of the UNEP report attribute the drop in adaptation funding in 2021 to the financial pressures caused by the COVID-19 pandemic and the war in Ukraine. However, they also noted that the $3 billion lost is a drop in the ocean compared to the $194 billion to $366 billion that developing countries need.

“Our estimates of the costs of adaptation of increasing, and at the same time, the financing is at least plateauing, or even decreasing,” said Watkiss. “And so the gap widens.” 

Third, developing countries are reporting more accurate data on their adaptation needs, helping UNEP to better forecast problems it may not have had sufficient data to include in previous reports. 

As more data comes in, UNEP is able to quantify more needs, suggesting that the current UN estimate of the adaptation gap likely remains too low.

Unkept promises underline the scale of the adaptation funding gap

Action zone at the COP26 venue in Glasgow, Scotland where this rotating globe hanging from the ceiling reminds delegates of what they are trying to save.

Unfulfilled climate funding pledges from advanced economies expose the vast gap between rhetoric and reality in adaptation funding.

In 2009, advanced economies pledged $100 billion per year by 2020 to help developing countries mitigate and adapt to climate change. This pledge was reaffirmed in the Paris Agreement in 2015, but eight years later, it has yet to be fully met.

“The numbers are not that big: if you compare the $100 billion to the money that the United States spends on its military, and that was spent on COVID or to save its banks, this is peanuts,” Pieter Pauw, a co-author of the UNEP report told Reuters. “It is time for developed countries to step up and provide more.” 

At the COP26 climate summit in Glasgow in 2021, rich countries made another pledge: to double adaptation funding to $40 billion annually by 2025. But with the shortfall in adaptation funding already at $366 billion, this pledge is no longer sufficient.  

“Even if the promise that we made together in Glasgow in 2021 to double adaptation finance support to 40 billion per year by 2025 were to be met – and that doesn’t look likely – the finance gap would fall by only five to 10%,” said Andersen.

Timeline of the emergence of loss and damage in the climate negotiations, culminating in the historic agreement at COP27 last year. The agreement to establish a loss and damage fund is now under threat.

The historic loss and damage fund agreed upon at COP27 in Egypt last year is also in jeopardy due to financing disputes between rich and developing countries, Politico reported this week. 

The question of who should pay for the damages caused by climate change, which is disproportionately impacting developing countries, has returned to the forefront of international climate negotiations.

The United States and Europe, two of the world’s largest historical emitters of greenhouse gases, are facing renewed calls to be held liable for their disproportionate contributions to the problem.

The United States, which resisted calls for a loss and damage fund for decades, is reportedly ready to exit negotiations on the fund if language holding them liable for their disproportionate contributions to global greenhouse gas emissions is not dropped. 

The agreement on the establishment of a loss and damage fund at last year’s COP27 summit in Egypt provided hope that this contentious issue could finally be resolved. However, the recent impasse over the fund has raised concerns that it could be derailed, threatening a critical step towards climate justice.

“We’re at a breaking point,” Avinash Persaud, the lead negotiator for Barbados and aide to Barbados Prime Minister Mia Mottley, told Politico.

A breakdown in negotiations “will break COP,” Persaud added. “I feel that not enough people are sufficiently worried about that”.

Adaptation has limits

In Guinea, rural women form cooperatives where members learn how to plant a vitamin-rich tree called Moringa and how to clean, dry and sell its leaves. Used as medicine or a dietary supplement by societies around the world, Moringa also supports biodiversity and prevents soil erosion.

Adaptation measures such as early warning systems, sea walls, and mangrove restoration are essential for helping communities cope with the impacts of climate change.

Early warning systems help people evacuate ahead of extreme weather events, sea walls protect coastal communities from sea level rise and storm surges, and the restoration of natural ecosystems such as mangroves alleviates flooding and, in the case of Lagos, Nigeria, stops the city from going under water. 

But as the planet warms, warming seas and a rapidly changing climate are pushing these measures to their limits.

“The evidence is clear that climate impacts are rising and are increasingly translating into limits to adaptation,” said Henry Neufeldt, Chief Scientific Editor of the UNEP report. “Some of these may already have been reached.“

Hurricane Otis, which struck Acapulco, Mexico, in September 2023, is a prime example of these limits. The storm rapidly intensified from a tropical storm to a category 5 hurricane overnight, leaving residents off guard and meteorologists struggling to explain what happened.

Powerful hurricanes can normally be observed by meteorologists for weeks prior to landfall. But as the planet warms, sea levels are rising and storms are becoming more unpredictable, limiting the ability of early warning systems to reliably protect coastal communities from extreme weather.

In just 12 hours, Hurricane Otis’ strength more than doubled, reaching record wind speeds of 257 kilometres per hour at landfall. The residents of Acapulco had no time to evacuate, leaving 100 people dead or missing and wreaking vast destruction on the resort town.

“Every day, every week, every month and every year from now on within our lifetimes, things are going to get worse and not a single country in the world is prepared,” said Andersen. “We are inadequately investing and planning on climate adaptation, and that leaves the world exposed.” 

Adaptation: Essential for billions facing climate impacts, despite limits

Climate adaptation measures have limits, but they are essential for the lives and safety of billions of people around the world who are already facing the effects of climate change.

Every decimal increase in the planet’s temperature affects millions. Nowhere is the need for adaptation more acute than in Africa, where at least 15,700 people have been killed and 34 million affected by extreme weather disasters in 2023 so far, according to an investigation by Carbon Brief.

Meanwhile, more than 29 million people continue to face unrelenting drought conditions in Ethiopia, Somalia, Kenya, Djibouti, Mauritania, and Niger, and more than 3,000 people were killed in flash floods in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Rwanda in May.

Debt-laden countries, suffocating under debt repayments that exceed healthcare spending, face a spiral of rebuilding, sacrificing basic needs, and losing lives if climate adaptation funding is not secured.

“Developing countries, poor countries that are really having difficulties having a balanced budget, will have to divest from education, from infrastructure, health, to simply feed some of their people and respond to major disasters and major catastrophes,” said Ibrahim Thiaw, Executive Secretary of the United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD). “This is the reality of the world today.” 

Projected annual deaths attributable to climate change in 2030 and 2050, according to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

Without financial support to help regions adapt to climate change, front-line communities will face conflict and mass migration, Thiaw warned.

“What is left to a young Somali, Haitian, or Sahelian when there is nothing left? When there is no ecosystem to provide food, capital, or natural capital, what is left for them to do but flee?” Thiaw asked.

“People do not fight each other simply because they hate each other,” Thiaw said, on how climate change fuels conflict. “They fight because they are competing for survival.”

Even if global greenhouse gas emissions are halted tomorrow, the planet will continue to warm for decades. The International Energy Agency projected earlier this month that fossil fuel demand will peak by 2030 but remain constant through 2050, nowhere near enough to stop the planet from warming.

“That adaptation finance in the world is actually shrinking at a time when we are calling for a doubling of adaptation is actually quite remarkable,” Thiaw said. “Climate change is hitting more and more, and international climate finance is declining – so where are we going? What impact will it have on the poorest and most vulnerable communities?”

Image Credits: UNDEP, Joe Saade/ UN Women.

GARDP executive director Manica Balasegaram, whose partnership has led the trial.

The world may soon have a new antibiotic to treat gonorrhoea after a successful phase 3 trial of an oral pill, zoliflodacin, that was led and sponsored by a non-profit organisation.

The results were announced late Wednesday by the Global Antibiotic Research and Development Partnership (GARDP), which conducted the trial in collaboration with Innoviva Specialty Therapeutics.

The gonorrhoea bacteria – Neisseria gonorrhoeae – has slowly grown resistant to many classes of antibiotics, leaving injectable ceftriaxone in combination with oral azithromycin, as the last available recommended treatment for gonorrhoea globally.

In a 2017 World Health Organization (WHO) survey of 77 countries, 97% reported cases of drug resistance to common gonorrhoea antibiotics, while two-thirds reported resistance or decreased susceptibility to the last option for treatment with a single drug. Recent reports of emerging ceftriaxone-resistant gonorrhoea infections have heightened the urgency for new antibiotics.

Zoliflodacin showed “statistical non-inferiority” when compared to the standard regimen – and it is much easier to administer as it’s one pill rather than an injection and a pill.

Meanwhile, previous studies have shown that zoliflodacin is active against multi-drug resistant strains of Neisseria gonorrhoeae, including those resistant to ceftriaxone and azithromycin, with no cross-resistance with other antibiotics. 

“The outcome of this study is a potential game changer for sexual health,” said Professor Edward W Hook III, the study’s protocol chair and Emeritus Professor of Medicine at the University of Alabama in Birmingham, US.

“In addition to the potential benefits for patients with infections with resistant strains of Neisseria gonorrhoeae, the potential lack of cross-resistance with other antibiotics and the oral route of administration will simplify gonorrhoea therapy for clinicians worldwide.”

Gonorrhoea bacteria cells.

Non-profit ‘fix’

Gonorrhoea is one of the top three most common sexually transmitted infections with over 82 million new annual infections – mostly in Africa. If left untreated, it can also cause infertility in women, life-threatening ectopic pregnancies, pelvic inflammatory disease and sterility in men.

While the WHO designated gonorrhoea as a “priority pathogen”, no new treatments have been trialled in the past 40 years.

This is the first trial of a priority pathogen led by a non-profit organisation.

“Despite the extremely high public health value, there has been a lack of investment to develop new drugs for gonorrhoea,” said Dr Manica Balasegaram, GARDP’s executive director.

“The zoliflodacin programme demonstrates that it is possible to develop antibiotic treatments targeting multidrug-resistant bacteria that pose the greatest public health threat, and which may not otherwise get developed.”

Meanwhile, Professor Glenda Gray, GARDP board member and President of the South African Medical Research Council (SAMRC), said that “GARDP’s model can play a crucial role in helping to fix the public health failure at the heart of the global AMR crisis and is a significant step forward in the treatment of gonorrhoea”.

The trial involved 930 patients with uncomplicated gonorrhoea and included men, women, adolescents and people living with HIV. Around half the trial participants came from South Africa, with other trial sites in Belgium, the Netherlands, Thailand, and the US.

First-line treatment?

Sinead Delany-Moretlwe, principal investigator for the trial in South Africa

Prof Sinead Delany-Moretlwe, principal investigator for the trial in South Africa, said that the trial had been conducted under difficult circumstances during the height of the COVID-19 pandemic.

“The huge investment in HIV trial infrastructure has really given South African scientists the capacity to do trials in infectious diseases and to yield results that can be submitted to a range of regulatory authorities,” Delany-Moretlwe told Health Policy Watch.

While countries’ medicine regulators still need to grant approval for the drug, parties involved in the trial have discussed an implementation strategy – including whether zoliflodacin should be given as a first-line drug.

“Because it’s an easier drug to administer, if the cost is affordable, it makes sense to implement it [as a first-line treatment],” Delany-Moretlwe, research director of Wits RHI at the University of Witwatersrand in Johannesburg, South Africa.

“And ceftriaxone is not just used to treat gonorrhoea, so it is important to protect a class of drug that is used for more than gonorrhoea in terms of good antibiotic stewardship.”

Another factor in favour of using zoliflodacin for first-line treatment is that it has a unique mechanism that inhibits a crucial bacterial enzyme, which can also help to avoid the emergence of resistance.

Applying for approvals

“GARDP has the right to register and commercialise the product in more than three-quarters of the world’s countries, including all low-income countries, most middle-income countries, and several high-income countries,” according to a GARDP spokesperson. 

However, Innoviva affiliate Entasis Therapeutics has commercial rights for zoliflodacin in the lucrative markets of North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Latin America.

“Our aim is to provide sustainable access to an affordable product but we are unable to give further details at this time, as we move into negotiations with commercial partners,” a GARDP spokesperson told Health Policy Watch.

GARDP and Innoviva ST will apply for approval with the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA), and initiate registration activities in South Africa and Thailand shortly after FDA submission. 

“Once approval is obtained in these two countries, we will expand access to zoliflodacin through a process of collaborative approvals within a number of countries,” said GARDP, depending on “the public health need and on the epidemiological situation in each country”.  

Meanwhile, Innoviva CEO Pavel Raifeld said that treatment “could have a profound effect on how physicians approach gonorrhoea infections, as an oral alternative to an injection could improve patient access and compliance, as well as help reduce the increasing spread of antibiotic-resistant strains of the disease”.

The GARDP trial was funded with support from the governments of Germany, UK, Japan, the Netherlands, Switzerland and Luxembourg, as well as the Canton of Geneva, the South African MRC, and the Leo Model Foundation. It builds on a phase 2 clinical trial sponsored by the US National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID).

WHO-SEARO 76th Regional Committee Session in New Delhi
WHO-SEARO Regional Director Poonam Khetrapal Singh at the 76th Regional Committee Session in New Delhi, meeting this week in Delhi, where she announced that Bangladesh has become the world’s first country to eliminate visceral leishmaniasis or kala azar.

Bangladesh has become the first country globally to be validated by the World Health Organization for the elimination of visceral leishmaniasis or kala azar, as a public health problem.

VL, a life-threatening neglected tropical disease (NTD) caused by a parasite transmitted by sandflies,  affects some one million people worldwide every year, mostly in Southeast Asia and North Africa.

Bangladesh, India, and Nepal accounted for 70% of the global cases between 2004 and 2008. By 2016, Bangladesh and Nepal brought down the number of cases drastically while the burden in India remains relatively high. While death rates are relatively low, disfigurement of limbs, sexual organs, etc. create huge levels of disability among those untreated.

However, new diagnostics and tools have helped make big inroads in morbidity.

The country achieved the elimination target of less than one case per 10,000 population at the sub-district level in 2017. It has managed to sustain that progress despite the COVID-19 pandemic, leading to the WHO elimination milestone, said WHO Regional Director Poonam Khetrapal Singh speaking at the SEARO Regional Committee meeting ongoing in Delhi this week, where the achievement was announced. .

At the meeting the global health agency also noted that the DPR Korea has eliminated rubella and Maldives has interrupted transmission of leprosy – another NTD.

Maldives has not reported a leprosy case for more than five years now, WHO said, making it the first country in the world to officially verify interruption of transmission, through a concerted effort to reduce stigma and discrimination so that people infected could be diagnosed, treated and cured.

NTDs are a diverse group of 20 tropical infections that are common in low-income regions of Africa, Asia, and the Americas. They are also often under-researched and ignored by the research community and pharmaceutical companies. WHO’s NTD Roadmap aims to reduce by 90% the number of people requiring treatment for NTDs by 2030.

“Neglected tropical diseases like lymphatic filariasis, visceral leishmaniasis and leprosy, along with the threat to children and young people posed by rubella, require continued national leadership, commitment and collaborative action by countries and health partners worldwide,” said WHO Director-General Dr Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, in a WHO statement. “These achievements will positively impact the lives of the most vulnerable populations now and in the future,” he added.

Image Credits: WHO.

Dr Tlaleng Mofokeng (right), the United Nations Special Rapporteur on the Right to Health

Tackling inequities in food, nutrition and health outcomes needs a rights-based approach to food and nutrition, based on equality and centred on historically marginalised individuals and communities, according to Dr Tlaleng Mofokeng, the United Nations (UN) Special Rapporteur on the Right to Health.

“The intersection of the right to health and right to food is central to achieving substantive equality and realising sustainable development, human rights, lasting peace and security,” Mofokeng told a New York audience at the launch of her report on food, nutrition and the right to health.

“Ultra-processed products, with marketing strategies that disproportionately target children, racial and ethnic minorities, and people from socially disadvantaged backgrounds, have replicated colonial power structures and dynamics, with traditional diets and food cultures being replaced by diets largely shaped by corporations headquartered in historically powerful and wealthy countries,” said Mofokeng at the launch, which was hosted by Vital Strategies.

She called for mandatory front-of-package nutrition labelling, and fiscal and food policies consistent with the obligation of member states to protect the right to health and health-related rights.

“Within the context of food and nutrition, the obligation to respect human rights requires that states not engage in any conduct that is likely to result in preventable, diet-related morbidity or mortality, such as incentivizing the consumption of unhealthy foods and beverages,” according to the report.

Mofokeng also raised the issue of land expropriation, occupation and destruction, noting that this “eliminates the ability of Indigenous Peoples and other local communities to produce their own food for a healthy diet and turns food into a commodity controlled by those in power, thus violating their right to adequate food and health.’.

“Food is more than nutrition. Besides being one of the most common sources of pleasure, food is a social glue,” she said.

GPMB co-chair Joy Phumaphi, Dr Tedros and co-chair Kolinda Grabar-Kitarovic at the launch of the board’s 2023 annual report.

 The world’s preparedness for the next pandemic is “perilously fragile”, with gaps that “leave us dangerously exposed to a future threat”, according to the Global Preparedness Monitoring Board (GPMB) in its 2023 annual report released on Monday.

“We lack the solid foundations needed to ensure current efforts for preparedness can be brought together to build an enduring bridge to a state of security. This is made more fragile by lack of trust both between and within countries,” said Kolinda Grabar-Kitarovic, co-chair of the GPMB.

“To counter a mistrust, we need to address its root causes, which is why this GPMB report places great emphasis on equity, accountability, leadership and coherence as underpinning factors for preparedness,” said Grabar-Kitarovic, former President of Croatia, at the launch of the report at the World Health Organization (WHO) headquarters in Geneva.

The GPMB is an independent body convened by the WHO and the World Bank in 2018 to ensure preparedness for global health crises.

Co-chair Kolinda Grabar-Kitarovic

Areas of decline from “already low levels of preparedness” include the global coordination of research and development (R&D); efforts to address misinformation; the participation of low and middle-income countries (LMIC) in the governance of pandemic preparedness; the lack of financing, and lack of independent monitoring. 

“Equity is not a ‘nice to have’ embellishment of global preparedness, it is its beating heart. Global security will be reached only when everyone regardless of geography is valued and assured equal access,” the report stresses.

‘Canary in the coal mine’

“We call these shortcomings ‘canary in the coal mine issues’ because these are the earliest signals of systematic problems. Without concrete commitments for financing and monitoring, preparedness capacities are likely to regress further over the coming years,” warned Grabar-Kitarovic.

However, the report identifies the negotiations to establish a WHO pandemic agreement, improved One Health surveillance capacity, community engagement and regional laboratory capacity as areas of progress. 

“The key takeaways are that our ability to deal with a potential new pandemic threat remains inadequate, and the world has insufficient capacities to guarantee our safety,” concluded Grabar-Kitarovic.

Joy Phumaphi, GPMB co-chair

Co-chair Joy Phumaphi said that the report, the fourth produced by the GPMB since its establishment shortly before the COVID-19 pandemic, is the first to use a new monitoring framework. The board assessed 30 indicators using a stop light grading system – yet not a single indicator scored “green” (full preparedness).

GPMB scoring 2023: green = excellent, yellow = good, orange = incomplete, red = poor. (Arrows = improving/ declining.)

Phumaphi, Botswana’s former health minister, characterised as “deeply troubling” the global failures to increase preparedness financing to meet the needs identified since COVID-19 and to integrate independent monitoring into reforms to health sector architecture.

Geopolitical tensions and competing demands for resources are also weakening countries’ resolve needed to close the pandemic response gaps, according to the board.

The report identifies four key priorities to repair the weaknesses in global preparedness, namely: strengthening monitoring and accountability; reforming the global financing system for pandemic prevention, preparedness and response (PPPR),  more comprehensive, equitable and robust R&D and supply chains; and stronger multi-sectoral, multi-stakeholder engagement.

Tedros agrees with independent monitoring 

“Our assessment reveals that current mechanisms for PPPR monitoring and accountability do not provide a complete picture,” said GPMB member Bente Angell-Hansen. 

“They tend to focus on systems and capacities and give less attention to important aspects of leadership, effectiveness and equity. They are mostly based on self-assessment with limited independent monitoring.”

Angell-Hansen added that a “critical weakness” in the current drafts of the pandemic agreement and the amendments to the International Health Regulations (IHR) was their lack of provisions for independent monitoring.

To address this shortcoming, the board proposes “independent monitoring to complement self-assessment and peer review, at all levels, nationally, regionally and globally” – as well as in the pandemic agreement and IHR amendments.

Speaking at the launch, WHO Director-General Dr Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus agreed with the board’s call for “independent monitoring and accountability mechanisms to be embedded in the ongoing reforms including the WHO pandemic agreement”. 

“In fact, it was the need for independent monitoring that impelled then-World Bank President Jim Kim and I to set up the GPMB in 2018. You cannot have accountability without monitoring, which provides accurate and timely information for turning commitments into effective action,” Tedros told the launch.

There has been furious lobbying for independent PPPR monitoring from a number of groups, including the Independent Panel for Pandemic Preparedness and Response. 

Financing needs ‘fundamental reform’

Board member Naoko Ishii outlined the world’s failure to raise adequate. sustainable financing as a key finding, with global research financing and global common goods financing being the worst resourced.

”Only 40% of countries have domestic contingency funds that could be used for health emergencies across the board,” said Ishii.

The report also highlights that global PPPR financing is “inefficient, uncoordinated, and insufficiently aligned to country needs and processes” and that the Pandemic Fund is far short of its aim of $10 billion.

“PPPR financing requires fundamental reform to free it from the limitations of development assistance and place it on a sustainable footing, based on burden-sharing,” recommends the report. “Strengthening PPPR requires ensuring sustainable financing for WHO and other international organisations working on PPPR.”

The report also proposes that the immediate funding gaps be addressed “to enable greater national investments and bolster international financing through new modalities and sources of financing”.

Governance: ‘Everything, everywhere all at once’

“Global health has become more crowded – much too crowded probably – and the governance of PPPR is deeply fragmented and lacks coherence. Some of us feel like in the Hollywood movie, ‘Everything Everywhere All at Once’,” said board member Ilona Kickbusch, chair of the Global Health Centre at Geneva’s Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies.

“None of the capacities we assess this year are adequate,” added Kickbusch. “And this after so many decades of work in this issue. There are multiple parallel efforts, some of which overlap but which still leave gaps, particularly in relation to equity, research and development and access to medical countermeasures.”

Ilona Kickbusch

Furthermore, “there is no strategic plan to coordinate the whole of UN, whole-of-society response to health emergencies and our governance structures struggle to provide the necessary leadership and unity to guide us through the pandemic”, she added.

While the pandemic agreement may address these gaps, the GPMB expressed concern about the slow pace of negotiations and “the challenges and divides that are holding back progress”. 

“Member states must redouble efforts to finalise the agreement before May 2024 when the World Health Assembly meets. Our collective preparedness against the next pandemic depends on it,” stressed Kickbusch.

Tedros agreed with her: “I think you know, I have made clear to our member states that there is no time to waste. Another pandemic or global health emergency could come at any time, just as it did in 2019.”

Describing the pandemic agreement as “a generational agreement that must be written by the generation with the lived experience of a pandemic”, he urged the board to “continue your advocacy with, and for, member states to work with a greater sense of urgency, with a particular focus on the most difficult issues”.

On a positive note, Kickbusch said that during the course of the COVID-19 response, member states had come to recognise the central and vital role of the WHO in health emergencies. 

“They have demonstrated their renewed trust in WHO by increasing their assessed contributions to correct the incoherence that has plagued PPPR governance. This empowerment of WHO at the centre of global health is essential, complemented with efforts to strengthen the whole of UN multi-sectoral response to pandemics,” said Kickbusch.

More equitable R&D

The board’s Victor Dzau said that, while global R&D spending overall is “at a record high of almost $1.7 trillion per year, 80% of spending is concentrated in 10 countries – most of which are high income”. 

No “effective global mechanism to set priorities and coordinate pandemic R&D means that the world cannot prioritise countermeasures development” for the most harmful pathogens or deliver pandemic products according to need, said Dzau.

“Low and middle-income countries are inadequately represented in decision-making and coordination processes. This means that their needs are fully met in resource allocation,” he added.

To address this, the GPMB proposes “strengthening regional capacities for R&D, manufacturing and supply” which will help to address “the inequities in global access to medical countermeasures”.

Board member Chris Elias outlines the R&D proposals

Finally, the board calls on global, regional and national leaders to “fully institutionalise preparedness measures that work in the collective interests of all”, and to address the four key priorities it has identified to “repair the weaknesses in global preparedness”.

self-care
Self-care proved essential during the height of the COVID-19 pandemic, when millions of people around the world took testing and their health into their own hands to ease the strain on overwhelmed healthcare systems.

BERLIN, Germany — Last week, the World Health Summit in Berlin brought together experts, civil society, politicians, and international organizations from around the world to brainstorm solutions to the many threats facing healthcare systems today. 

Climate change, the looming health workforce crisis, and the increasingly distant goal of universal health coverage were all on the agenda. Panels and plenaries debated solutions like artificial intelligence, innovative financing mechanisms for global health, and the use of pharmaceutical innovation and digital technologies to further equity.

Yet the oldest solution in the book, self-care, received little attention. A panel organized by the Global Self-Care Federation (GSCF) and the World Health Organization (WHO), in a small conference room on the outskirts of the summit, was the only event to make it a focus.

That needs to change. Amid a widening health workforce crisis and a lack of universal health coverage for half the world, a broad alliance of public and private stakeholders are urging governments to recognize and develop self-care as a critical component of health systems. Their call is backed by a new joint statement on self-care launched at a World Health Summit, and signed by the WHO and three other UN agencies.

Formal care is only the tip of the iceberg

The global and economic value of self-care in data.

“When I think about the whole health continuum, I see an iceberg,” said Jurate Svarcaite, Director-General of the Association of the European Self-Care Industry, speaking on the panel. “The formal health system is what you see above the water, and self-care is what’s under. This invisible part of the iceberg is very difficult to visualize until you have the figures – and the numbers are really staggering.”

The self-care that people provide themselves and their families is essential to keeping even the most advanced healthcare systems afloat. Without it, the EU would need an additional 120,000 GPs, at a cost of $34 billion per year. Self-care allows physicians to focus on acute care by saving them nearly 1.8 billion hours per year globally, according to GSCF, a non-profit based in Geneva.

The impact of self-care in supporting health systems has grown significantly over the past 50 years and is set to accelerate further as over-the-counter pharmaceuticals become increasingly sophisticated, safe, and effective. 

Advances in over-the-counter medicines mean pharmacists can now empower patients by providing advice and treatment for a wide range of minor illnesses, such as coughs, colds, and skin conditions. This can help to reduce the burden on GPs and hospitals.

“Even in countries that have well-equipped and well-resourced health systems, I’ve never heard of a health system saying they have too many resources or too many healthcare professionals,” said Goncalo Sousa Pinto, Lead for Practice and Developmental Transformation at the International Pharmaceutical Federation.

“It is impossible to have sustainable health systems unless you revamp and you really invest in and strengthen primary health care – and self-care is really a way of responding to that challenge,” said Pinto. “It’s about prevention, it’s about early diagnosis, and it’s about reducing pressure on health systems so that patients that require more time in their health system can benefit from high-quality care.”

Self-care savings 

The COVID-19 pandemic demonstrated the essentiality of self-care in times of crisis. Healthcare systems would have collapsed, not just struggled, if millions of people around the world had not taken matters into their own hands.

“COVID really dropped the pin – all of us had to self-care,” said Svarcaite. “We were asked to stay home if we were sick, even if we caught COVID we just had to go to the pharmacy to get paracetamol for whatever symptoms we were feeling.” 

“We had to try not to go into the formal health system because it was caring for really, really sick people that needed the full attention of healthcare professionals,” Svarcaite added.

Self-care, enabled by enhanced health literacy, over-the-counter medicines, devices, and preventive care, can enable people to manage their health conditions and improve their productivity by up to 40.8 billion days globally, she said, referring to a 2022 report on self-care’s social and economic value. It is also often the only option for the nearly 4 billion people who do not have access to essential health services.

“There was not one country which had its health system saying ‘Hooray! We are ready, we can do the COVID, bring us more,’” said Svarcaite. “All health systems struggled, and it just shows that self-care is part of health system resilience.”

Self-care is not new, but it presents one of the highest impact ceilings and cost-benefit ratios to deal with some of the most intractable health problems of the future, such as climate change, conflict, displacement, and the health workforce crisis.

“We need to find new ways to deliver health and healthcare services,” Bente Mikkelsen, director of Noncommunicable Diseases at WHO, earlier told another World Health Summit panel focusing on the healthcare workforce. “For me, that can be the recommendation of self-care information.”

Self-care: A lifeline for sexual and reproductive health

Inequalities continue to be a fundamental challenge to global efforts to achieve universal health coverage, particularly for sexual and reproductive health and rights, according to the UN joint statement.

“Nowhere is the need for self-care more urgent than in sexual and reproductive health, where inequalities run deep,” said Dr Pascale Allotey, Director of WHO’s Department of Sexual and Reproductive Health and Research. 

Nearly 800 women die every day from preventable causes related to pregnancy and childbirth. 164 million women of reproductive age worldwide have an unmet need for contraception, one in three face sexual violence in their lifetimes, and over 1 million newly sexually transmitted infections are acquired every day. 

Self-care interventions, such as self-testing for pregnancy diagnosis, self-sampling for HPV and other infections, and self-management of medical abortion, can help to reduce these inequalities and empower women to make informed and independent choices.

“In so many places around the world, pregnancy self-tests are not available,” said Dr Manjuula Narasimhan, who leads WHO’s Sexual Health and Well-Being Unit. “If it’s not available at the pharmacy, it’s not available to that adolescent young girl asking ‘Am I pregnant? How do I find out?’”

WHO’s Sexual Health and Well-Being Unit Dr Manjuula Narasimhan speaks at the World Health Summit.

Pregnancy self-tests are a common and accessible means of contraception in high-income countries, but they are often unavailable or inaccessible to women in low-income countries. This can pose a significant barrier to women’s health and well-being, as early knowledge of pregnancy is essential for accessing timely and appropriate care.

In many low-income countries, pregnancy self-tests are not available in pharmacies or other retail outlets. They may only be available through health facilities, which can be difficult or impossible to reach for women who live in remote areas or who face stigma or discrimination.

“If the only way she can find out is to go to a clinic and do a blood test — likely in the local clinic where everybody knows her, and are wondering why she’s coming in — then that is a problem of equity,” said Narasimhan. “It is a problem of people having that ability, that agency, to be able to make informed decisions about their health.”

Health literacy: an essential pillar of self-care

The impact of self-care in supporting health systems has grown significantly over the past 50 years and is set to accelerate further as over-the-counter pharmaceuticals become increasingly sophisticated, safe, and effective.

Self-care can reduce the burden on healthcare providers. But self-care can only be effective when health literacy is well-integrated into health system strategies.

“Self-care is intrinsically patient-centric,” said Pinto. “But for these interventions by patients to be effective and to be the best options for patients, the pillar of health literacy and self-care literacy needs to be there. 

But health literacy is more than handing out pamphlets. It requires tailored awareness campaigns targeting the needs of local populations.

“Literacy is not just giving up a pamphlet and a brochure that they can read and many populations actually can’t read either,” said Dr Téa Collins, Platform Lead for Global NCDs at the WHO. “We need to be aware of the diversity of countries and the diversity of healthcare systems, knowing they are not all equipped to do things a certain way.

“There are also very different value systems because in different cultures there are different ways of managing health and disease,” Collins added. “We need to really consider and be culturally sensitive.”

A paradigm shift

Self-care panel underway at the World Health Summit in Berlin.

A shift towards self-care would require a paradigm shift in modern health systems, which are still largely based on top-down approaches to patient care.

“When we are talking about the medical model of care, particularly for those of us trained in this system, we are still gravitating towards this top-down approach,” said Collins.

A shift towards self-care would require a more collaborative approach to healthcare, with patients and healthcare providers working together to develop and implement care plans that are tailored to individual needs. It would also require a greater investment in health literacy and self-care literacy programs.

Self-care is not a magic bullet, but it is a critical part of the solution to the health workforce crisis and the broader challenges facing healthcare systems today.

A new joint UN statement recognizes the potential of self-care

The joint statement was issued at the World Health Summit by the World Health Organization and three other UN agencies.

As a next step, GSCF and its partners are calling on the World Health Assembly to adopt a resolution on self-care. The adoption of such a resolution would be a landmark moment for the advancement of self-care as a pillar of health systems.

“Self-care is an indispensable solution for realising Universal Health Coverage by 2030 and should be integrated into future health and economic policy, with a focus on affordability and access,” said Judy Stenmark, head of GSCF, which has been working in collaboration with WHO to advance self-care in policy agendas.

“A WHO Resolution on Self-Care would provide a comprehensive framework for governments, stakeholders, and the international community to strengthen self-care policies and interventions and would put us on a pathway to better health, well-being, and sustainable development,”  Stenmark noted.

The joint statement, released at the World Health Summit by WHO, the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), the UN Population Fund (UNFPA) and the World Bank, outlines five priority areas for strategic investment and coordination, including:

  • Financing: We must implement innovative funding models that reduce costs, enhance efficiency, and build a more equitable system.
  • Expanding the health workforce: We need to expand the competencies of the health workforce to provide user-centred self-care options as part of high-quality primary care.
  • Fostering broad-based political will: We need to foster broad-based political will and accountability for integrating self-care across policies, programs, and sectors.
  • Strengthening regulatory systems: We need to strengthen regulatory systems to assure the safety and quality of self-care interventions.
  • Generating robust evidence: We need to generate robust evidence on the health economics and social impacts of self-care while respecting patient preferences.

“The statement represents a watershed moment,” said Allotey. “We really, really have a lot of work to do.”

Image Credits: Annie Spratt, CC.

The unequal distribution of vaccines between countries at the height of the pandemic manifested “as a global system privileging those former colonial powers to the detriment of formerly colonised states and descendants of enslaved groups,” according to the UN Committee on the Elimination of Racial Discrimination.

For centuries, colonialism has shaped global healthcare, leaving behind a legacy of disparities and injustices between the Global North and Global South that continues to exert a profound influence on the health and well-being of marginalised and indigenous populations across the globe.

Today, colonialism’s legacy is being challenged by a growing movement to decolonise the healthcare sector by shifting power to marginalised communities and empowering them to design and deliver their own care.

At a recent panel discussion hosted by the Global Health Centre of the Geneva Graduate Institute, in collaboration with Medicus Mundi, experts from across the health spectrum discussed practical steps to decolonise global health governance and give marginalised communities a greater voice and agency in their own healthcare systems.

“We are speaking about localisation, shifting powers and decolonising,” said Hafid Derbal, Co-Desk for Sexual and Reproductive Health and Rights (SRHR) and Co-Program Coordinator for Zimbabwe, South Africa and Mozambique, Terre des Hommes Schweiz. “Who is ultimately benefiting from our work and these changes? It must be the people we work with – the local organisations and civil society.”

One example of this approach is community-based healthcare initiatives, which tailor services to the specific needs and preferences of the local population. 

“Participative urbanism is a concept that we came up with to bring the voice of the marginalised as part of the mainstream public policy,” said Danny Gotto, founder and executive director of Innovations for Development (I4DEV), Uganda.

“We created a space for people in so-called slums to voice their concerns based on their context, based on their cultures, based on their interests, based on their aspirations,” Gotto said. “Then, we created a space for dialogue between policymakers and the common people to ensure that they decolonise urbanism because the context of urbanism, as borrowed from the West, is that the poor all live on the fringes.”

On a broader scale, collaborations are emerging to support countries with limited resources to manage specific health conditions. For example, the African Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (Africa CDC) is dedicated to building Africa’s capacity to confront healthcare challenges.

“Because many national health organizations lack the capacity and resources to represent what’s going on, the African Union’s creation of the Africa Center for Disease Control and Prevention has great potential,” said Ravi Ram of the Kampala Initiative and co-chair of the WHO Civil Society Commission.

Colonial legacies often resulted in the suppression of indigenous healing traditions and the imposition of Western medical paradigms. Ongoing efforts are underway to decolonize global health education by revising curricula to encompass diverse perspectives and local knowledge and experiences.

Dr Agnes Binagwaho.

“First, we educate students to amplify the voice of the marginalised and vulnerable people in the country, the region, the societies, the communities, and families,” Agnes Binagwaho, a former minister of health in Rwanda and the retired vice chancellor of the University of Global Health Equity, told the panel.

“We educate our students inside the communities the most in need in the country. Normally, medical schools are in cities and in the richest part of countries, not where the most needs are for health professionals. On top of that, we put our students in direct contact with local, national, and regional leaders,” Binagwaho said.

However, the idea that decolonisation is only about the Global North versus the Global South was challenged during the panel discussion. Power imbalances in global health extend beyond former colonial powers, reaching into emerging economies where this disconnect poses challenges for policymakers and healthcare organisations.

“India has also been following, in many ways, a colonial mentality toward its development programs,” said Kampala Initiative’s Ram. “We saw that in COVID, where protectionism overruled their public commitment toward sharing vaccines.”

“Brazil is doing the same work in Latin America, using its regional dominance, trade, and other economic factors to dominate smaller states, even within Brazil,” Ram added. “Much of the general and Afro-Brazilian populations have been excluded from the formal health system.”

WHO
Proposals to include intellectual property waivers for vaccines during the next pandemic in a potential Pandemic Treaty have run up against sharp resistance from the pharmaceutical industry and rich countries.

The inequities of the COVID-19 vaccine rollout exposed the deep inequities in global health, leading to calls for a decolonisation of the sector and negotiations on international legal instruments like the World Health Organization’s (WHO) Pandemic Treaty.

The WHO’s “zero-draft” treaty proposes that 20% of pandemic-related products, such as vaccines, diagnostics, protective equipment, and therapeutics, be allocated to the organisation, which can then ensure equal distribution.

But the increasing monopolisation of entire economic sectors and various forms of profiteering are threatening to derail the Pandemic Treaty. Vaccine inequity was not solely shaped by perceived colonial division, but also the increasing monopolisation of the healthcare sector by private companies, the panelists said. 

“We’ve seen that member states and international organisations won’t necessarily be representing a national interest in the sense of the public. They’ll be representing a corporate interest,” said Ram. “I want to call attention to what’s happening here in Kenya, where a lot of health service delivery is being increasingly encroached upon by Indian corporates, where the Indian private sector is probably one of the most privatised in the Global South.”

Binagwaho echoed this concern, adding: “Money is controlled by the people who don’t want to change because they benefit from the system they have created over decades, and they’re resisting a lot.

“They have to give up a little, but to change that, we must change the world’s economic structure.”

Image Credits: CC, US Mission Geneva.

Trucks carrying humanitarian aid wait to cross into Gaza from Egypt through Rafah border point – some 74 have now passed but WHO says its not nearly enough.

The World Health Organization has issued its most forceful statement to date calling for the immediate release of some 200 Israelis and foreigners, including health workers and children, abducted by Hamas and other armed groups from Israel on 7 October during a deadly rampage of 22 Israeli communities that left about 1300 other people dead.   

Meanwhile, WHO’s Eastern Mediterranean Regional Office (EMRO) issued a fresh appeal for the entry of fuel supplies as well as more medicines  to Gazan overburdened hospitals, struggling to cope with a rising toll of casualties from unprecedented Israeli air raids. Since Saturday, Israel has the allowed entry of  74 trucks of food, water and medical aid. But it has barred fuel deliveries to the besieged enclave in an effort to stem the blitz of missiles being fired on Israeli cities by Hamas, and deplete its fuel reserves while staging the initial phases of a promised ground incursion into Gaza.  US President Joe Biden, a staunch supporter of Israel in the conflict, has admitted that the Gaza aid deliveries aren’t getting in “fast enough.”

WHO hostage statement

Outside of UN Headquarters in Geneva, demonstrators call for the release of some 222 Israeli and foreign hostages held by Hamas. In the past week, families have also met with the heads of WHO, the ICRC and the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights.

The WHO appeal on the hostages came late Wednesday evening following a meeting between WHO Director General Dr Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus and members of an Israeli civil society group representing families of those abducted. 

WHO is “gravely concerned by the humanitarian and health situation facing approximately 200 people, including health workers and up to 30 children, abducted from Israel by Hamas and other armed groups on 7 October 2023,” the statement said. It called for “the immediate release of all the hostages, along with urgent access to each of them and delivery of medical care.” 

Said Tedros, “We met today with families of people abducted from southern Israel on 7 October and heard firsthand the tragedy, trauma and suffering they are facing. There is an urgent need for the captors of the hostages to provide signs of life, proof of provision of health care and the immediate release, on humanitarian and health grounds, of all those abducted.”

Elderly, children and people with chronic health conditions

Two of the estimated 30 Israeli children taken hostage by Hamas at demonsration outside of the UN Headquarters in Geneva Sunday, calling for their release. Some families met with the heads of WHO, ICRC and the Office of the UN High Commisioner for Human Righs (OHCHR)

“Many of the hostages, including children, women and the elderly, have pre-existing health conditions requiring urgent and sustained care and treatment. The mental health trauma that the abducted, and the families, are facing is acute and psychosocial support is of great importance,” Tedros said.

The captives were taken after several thousand Hamas gunmen broke through an Israeli security fence separating Palestinian Gaza from pre-1967 Israel in the early morning of 7 December. Fanning out to some 22 Israeli villages and small towns nearby, the gunmen forced their way into hundreds of homes, and set others on fire. Survivors reported seeing neighbors and family members shot or bludgeoned to death, while a few were led away on foot,  motorcycles or in pickup trucks. 

So far, only four of an estimated 224 hostages have been released – including two elderly women, aged 85 and 79 on Monday, whose husbands remain in captivity.  Among the hostages are people of some 25 nationalities, including many Israelis with dual citizenship, but also Nepalese agriculture students and Thai caregivers who were working in the Israeli communities near Gaza.  A handful of the Israeli captives are Beduin Muslims, who live and work in the area.  

Since being taken captive, hostage families have launched a diplomatic campaign in Europe, North America and at UN institutions.  Last week some hostage family members also met in Geneva with the president of the International Committee of the Red Cross and Volker Turk, UN High Commissioner for Human Rights, on a tour that has also taken some families to Brussels and around European capitals as well as to the UN Security Council meeting in New York.   

WHO Eastern Mediterranean Office issues fresh appeal for Gaza fuel supplies 

Displacement of Palestinian families from northern Gaza to one of the UNRWA schools in Gaza City to escape the ongoing Israeli airstrikes on Gaza since October 7, 2023.

Meanwhile, WHO’s EMRO office warned again that more Gazan hospitals are facing collapse, due to the lack of fuel and the collapse of the electricity grid.

“In addition to the hospitals that have had to close due to damage and attacks, six hospitals across the Gaza Strip have already shut down due to lack of fuel, said the WHO/EMRO statement. 

“Unless vital fuel and additional health supplies are urgently delivered into Gaza, thousands of vulnerable patients risk death or medical complications as critical services shut down due to lack of power. These include 1000 patients dependent on dialysis, 130 premature babies who need a range of care, and patients in intensive care or requiring surgery who depend on a stable and uninterrupted supply of electricity to stay alive.” 

Since last Saturday, some 74 trucks carrying food, water and medicines have been allowed by Israel to pass into Gaza through Egypt’s Rafah, with 12 trucks crossing in the latest relay, on Thursday. 

However, UN Refugee Works Agency (UNRWA) officials say that is only about one-tenth of the aid that used to cross into the besieged Gaza strip, before the war broke out – and bereft of fuel.

WHO statements coincide with intense diplomatic activity on hostages and  de-escalation 

Palestinian man walks across a pile of rubble in Gaza, whish has seen the heaviest bombing attacks ever by Israel.

The WHO meeting and statements coincided with a UN Security Council debate Tuesday and Wednesday on the Israel-Gaza conflict, which ended in a veto by Russia and China of a proposed US resolution calling for a humanitarian “pause” in hostilities but also condemned Hamas and affirmed Israel’s right to defend itself. A competing Russian resolution that also called for a pause and condemned Hamas, but omitted language about Israel’s right to self-defense, failed to get the required 9 Security Council votes. 

While there have also been reports that Hamas is negotiating with mediators in Qatar, Egypt and elsewhere for the release of more Israeli captives, the hostage mission is vastly complicated by repeated Israeli threats to enter Gaza and remove Hamas altogether from power.  

The Hamas attacks on wide swathes of southern and central Israel, as well as from the northern Lebanese border, have led to the displacement of some 200,000 Israelis. Some of the Gaza-area Israeli villages that were the scenes of massacre on 7 October, are now mere burnt out ruins. 

But that is nowhere near the level of destruction now being seen in densely populated Gaza – where average people lack access to the network of shelters that Israel has built for its civilian population against missile attack – not to mention its “Iron Dome” air defense system. Around one half of Gaza’s 2.3 million Palestinian inhabitants have reportedly been displaced.  

Gaza reports soaring casualties 

A Palestinian boy with his cat salvaged from an apartment bombed by Israel.

Gaza’s Hamas-run Health Ministry released Thursday a detailed report on 7,028 Palestinian casualties, including 2,913 minors as a result of the conflict. Although US President Biden has expressed scepticism as to whether the numbers indeed are that high, WHO and UN sources, say that the Hamas figures have usually been reliable, bearing up to post-war scrutiny.  The Hamas toll, however, does include some 471 people reported to have been killed in the explosion at Al Ahli Hospital, which French and US intelligence agree was an errant missile fired from Gaza. It also does not separate military from civilian deaths. 

Regardless, Palestinian casualties appear to now outpace the combined Gaza toll of all of its major conflicts with Israel since in 2008. And there is no doubt that Palestinian deaths far outpace the losses seen by Israel, which has lost 1,400 people, including 380 soldiers.   

And irregardless, Israel’s air raids on Gaza, some of the heaviest ever seen on an urban area anywhere in the world, have thrust average Palestinians deep into crisis – overcrowding hospitals, as well as schools and refugee centers. Israel also has called for the evacuation of most of northern Gaza, while it takes aim at the huge labyrinth of underground tunnels created by Hamas as refuge for its fighters and high-ranking officials. 

The fuel war 

Some Gaza facilities, like Nasser Hospital in Khan Yunis, now have solar power capacity – but PV cannot fill the energy gap left by fuel shortages.

Already two weeks ago, Gazan health officials warned that hospital fuel supplies would run out in days. Fuel is also  critical for powering Gaza’s desalinization plant to produce clean water, UN and relief workers stress, in light of the heavy salt-water encroachment and pollution of Gaza’s wells and underground aquifers. And it is essential to bakeries, producing bread, a critical staple food. 

As of this week, fuel reserves hadn’t yet entirely been exhausted. On Monday, WHO reported its delivery of  34,000 liters of fuel to ambulance services and four major hospitals in southern Gaza.  But “this is only enough to keep ambulances and critical hospital functions running for a little over 24 hours,” WHO warned. 

Meanwhile, Hamas has continued to strike out against southern and central Israel, hitting homes in the city of Rishon Le Zion Wednesday night, and at Tel Aviv on Thursday, even if the pace of attacks was slackening noticeably from as hundreds of rockets a day, fired at the beginning of the incursion. to around 100 a day.  Precisely because of that, Israel remains adamant about allowing fuel convoys  into Gaza – which they say could be filched by Hamas.  

In the past few years, more Gazan hospitals have also been fitted with large PV rooftop solar installations, as part of a major initiative by UNDP, as well as WHO and bilateral donors – to cope with chronic interruptions in electricity grid supply that were a problem even before the war. But PV solar capacity is still under development, and clearly cannot meet the needs of flooded hospitals now. Moreover, one of the hospitals with one of the biggest and newest PV installations, the Palestinian Red Crescent’s Al Quds Hospital, is located in the northern Gaza strip, which Israel has called to evacuate. 

–Updated Friday 27.10.2023 with further details of the death toll in Gaza, as reported by the Hamas-controlled government.

Image Credits: E. Fletcher , © UN Photo/Eskinder Debebe, E. Fletcher/HPW, WHO/Eastern Mediterranean Region , Care International , UNRWA, WHO, 2019.

A new report by the United Nations University warns that climate change is a major factor in pushing the world towards multiple tipping points, which will cause rapid and fundamental change to the planet.

Human activity is pushing the world towards multiple tipping points that will cause rapid and fundamental change to the planet, according to a new report by the United Nations University Institute for Environment and Human Security (UNU-EHS).

The Interconnected Disaster Risks report, released on Wednesday, identifies six key tipping points: accelerating extinctions, groundwater depletion, mountain glacier melting, space debris, unbearable heat, and an uninsurable future.

These tipping points are defined in the report as the moment at which a given system is no longer able to buffer risks and provide its expected functions. 

Once a tipping point is reached, it is irreversible and can lead to cascading failures of other systems. For example, the loss of mountain glaciers could lead to water shortages and mass migration, while unbearable heat could make some areas uninhabitable.

The report also highlights the interconnectedness of the tipping points, warning that they could trigger each other in a vicious cycle. For example, the loss of biodiversity could make ecosystems more vulnerable to climate change, which could lead to more extreme weather events and further biodiversity loss.

Running out of time

The report’s authors say that humanity is running out of time to avert disaster. They call for urgent action to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and protect ecosystems.

“These tipping points have either passed or are about to happen,” said Dr Jack O’Connor, lead author of the report and a senior export at UNU-EHS. 

“Depending on where you are in the world, you might have a little bit more time,” said O’Connor. “But you should be looking at what is happening in other places of the world because we are all interconnected, and the impacts of tipping points passing in other places will eventually affect you.” 

The report comes a month before representatives from all countries will meet at the annual UN Climate Conference, COP28, in Dubai.

Chain reactions are already underway 

Extinctions are already happening at an alarming rate. Animals are running out of places to feed and reproduce as humans take over more and more land, while climate change is making it harder for threatened species to survive. This loss of biodiversity is increasing the risk of a chain reaction of extinctions, which could have devastating consequences for ecosystems and human societies alike.

“Recent research has shown that the way that ecological networks have formed means that as we lose biodiversity, we increase the risk of this chain reaction of extinctions in an ecosystem,” said O’Connor. “Extinctions could accelerate at a much faster rate in the future.”

Depleting groundwater is another major tipping point that is already having real-world impacts, threatening food security in many parts of the world. Groundwater is essential for agriculture, providing a reliable source of water during droughts and other periods of water scarcity. 

Yet, in many parts of the world, groundwater is being extracted faster than it can be replenished. This is due to a combination of factors, including population growth, climate change, and unsustainable agricultural practices. 

Farmers who are already facing the vagaries of fluctuating rainfall can no longer rely on groundwater to make up the shortfall. Some countries, such as Saudi Arabia, have already surpassed the groundwater risk tipping point, while others, like India, are not far behind.

Impacts of today in the future

Rising space debris is becoming a major issue as more and more satellites are launched into low Earth orbit (LEO), the region of space closest to Earth that is already crowded with satellites. By 2030, as many as 100,000 satellites could be in orbit, posing a significant risk to other spacecraft and missions. 

“Communities and individuals can influence the other tipping points on the list … [but] I think this is the one where individuals probably have the least agency,” said Dr Zita Sebesvari, another lead author of the report and deputy director of UNU-EHS.

New research from the University of British Columbia’s Outer Space Institute echoes Sebesvari’s concerns, estimating that as many as one million satellites may be headed into orbit.

“By treating orbital space as an unlimited resource, humanity is creating serious safety and long-term sustainability challenges to the use of low Earth orbit (LEO), including science conducted from space and the ground,” the study said.

“If even a portion of these million satellites are actually launched, national and international rules will be needed to address the associated sustainability challenges, like collision risks, light pollution, and reentry risks,” Andrew Falle, lead author of the study, told Space.com.

Transformative change needed

The report provides two categories of solutions for each of the problems: avoid solutions and adapt solutions. Avoid solutions target the root drivers of the tipping points, while adapt solutions help prepare for or better address the negative impacts.

In the case of unbearable heat, the report suggests halting greenhouse gas emissions and driving society towards low-carbon ways of living as an avoid solution. An adapt solution would be to help install more air conditioners in places that need them the most.

The report emphasizes that current solutions are only working to delay the onset of the tipping points, not to avoid them altogether. While some work is being done on transformative solutions, these need to be scaled up significantly, the authors say.

“Real transformative change involves everyone,” Sebesvari said. “The report serves as a timely reminder before the UN Climate Conference that we must all be part of the solution.”